Match Info
Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 5Date: 29 April 2026, WednesdayLocation: Arena Condá (Chapecó)
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Chapecoense |
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América Mineiro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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Watch |
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2.12 |
2.97 |
3.77 |
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2.55 |
2.91 |
2.8 |
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2.2 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
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2.09 |
3.02 |
3.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.36) |
2.95 ↑
(2.88) |
3.28 ↑
(2.98) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Chapecoense
40.9% | Draw
31.1% | América Mineiro
28% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.7%)Chapecoense - América Mineiro Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Rafael Santos (G)
7. Alberto
8. David Antunes
9. Joao Bom
4. Kauan
2. Kaue
6. Mancha
3. Marcos Vinicius
5. Miguel
10. Rubens Ricoldi
11. Wermeson
| 1. William (G)
9.  Enrico
7. Geovane P.
5. Goncalves O.
10. Jhonatan Lima
8. Julio Cesar
6. Luidy
4. Rafa Barcelos
2. Samuel
3. Wesley
11. Yarlen
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| Substitutes |
19. Bernardo
18. Da Silva
15. Felipe
17. Felipe L.
21. Ferreira T.
22. Gleidson
20. Godoy K.
12. Kaina (G)
16. Marco
14. Vinicius Eduardo
| 16. Derick
15. Felipao
18. Italo Brito (G)
14. Leo Izidoro
12. Matheus
13. Ruan
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Rubens Ricoldi ⚽,
- 15', Goncalves O. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 1, Geovane P. ⚽,
- 30', Rubens Ricoldi 🟨,
- 45+1', Kauan 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 65', 2 - 1, Joao Bom ⚽,
- 68', Enrico 🟨,
- 68', Julio Cesar ↓, Italo Brito ↑,
- 70', Alberto ↓, Ferreira T. ↑,
- 71', Joao Bom ↓, Felipe L. ↑,
- 75', Ferreira T. 🟨,
- 78', Enrico ↓, Derick ↑,
- 80', Marcos Vinicius 🟨,
- 83', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Vinicius Eduardo ↑,
- 83', Mancha ↓, Da Silva ↑,
- 90+2', Wermeson ↓, Felipe ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1.Chapecoense is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).América MG has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Chapecoense has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.1:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Chapecoense - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 38.31%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie B | | | 10.11.25 | Chapecoense - América Mineiro | 0:1 | | 20.07.25 | América Mineiro - Chapecoense | 0:1 | | 21.08.24 | América Mineiro - Chapecoense | 0:0 | | 04.05.24 | Chapecoense - América Mineiro | 2:2 | | Brazilian Serie A | | | 30.11.21 | América Mineiro - Chapecoense | 3:0 | | 16.08.21 | Chapecoense - América Mineiro | 1:1 | | Brazilian Serie B | | | 20.12.20 | América Mineiro - Chapecoense | 2:2 |
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