Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 5

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Albino Turbay (Cianorte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Cianorte		Juventude

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.78	3.79	4.17
	1.75	3.89	3.8
	1.7	3.6	3.9
	1.79	3.78	3.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (2.62)	3.77 ↑ (3.19)	3.94 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cianorte
52.3%

Draw
24.4%

Juventude
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.4%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cianorte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cianorte's performance.

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cianorte than the current prediction. (-17.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cianorte that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cianorte - Juventude Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Igor (G) 3. Allan Passos 2. Cristovam (C) 10. Felipe Laurindo 8. Ibson 4. Jakao 5. Kaka 11. Lucas Aruba 7. Reifit 9. Robson Luiz 6. Sony	12. Leo Agliardi (G) 4. Bernardo Toffolo 11. Carlinhos 5. Clebio 8. Davi Goes 9. Joao Scatolin 6. Kaynan 7. LH 3. Mateus Schaffer 2. Moura L. 10. Ray Breno (C)
Substitutes
17. Adisa D. 21. Cabeca D. 18. Carlito Thiago 28. Crysthyan 13. Dener 20. Hiaguinho 16. Iago Motta 27. Luciano 12. Luiz Fabiano (G) 19. Nicolas 15. Paulo Roberto 14. Ramom Soares	15. Borges G. 13. Costa K. 16. Joao Trevisol 21. Joaquim (G) 14. Lima K. 17. Lucca 18. Schuh Padilha N. Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Lucas Aruba ⚽,
14', Lucas Aruba ↓, Nicolas ↑,
18', 2 - 0, Robson Luiz ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Kaka ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Felipe Laurindo ↓, Adisa D. ↑,
46', Mateus Schaffer ↓, Costa K. ↑,
46', Davi Goes ↓, Borges G. ↑,
46', Luiz Henrique ↓, Lucca ↑,
55', Clebio 🟨,
58', Ibson ↓, Luciano ↑,
58', Bernardo Toffolo ↓, Lima K. ↑,
64', Robson Luiz 🟨,
66', Kaynan 🟨,
71', Moura L. ↓, Joao Trevisol ↑,
78', Joao Trevisol 🟨,
79', Robson Luiz ↓, Carlito Thiago ↑,
79', Kaka ↓, Dener ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Lucca ⚽,
90', Joao Trevisol 🟥,
90+2', 3 - 2, Lucca ⚽,

Preview

Cianorte has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Juventude is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cianorte may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cianorte will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Juventude - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 37.19%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cianorte FC
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	FC Cascavel - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Cianorte - Joinville	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	São Bernardo - Cianorte	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Santa Catarina - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
08.04.26	Cianorte - Operário Ferroviario	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWLT
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
25.04.26	Juventude - Londrina	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	São Paulo - Juventude	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
18.04.26	CRB Maceio - Juventude	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Sul Sudeste
15.04.26	Juventude - Chapecoense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
11.04.26	Juventude - Goiás	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWTW

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