Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 15

Date: 18 June 2025, Wednesday

Location: Arena Gregorão (Contagem)


	América Mineiro		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.4	1.66
	5.87	3.92	1.54
				Watch
	4.97	4.08	1.61
	4.07	3.34	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (4.54)	3.69 ↑ (3.4)	1.62 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
18.8%

Draw
24.7%

Ferroviária
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

27%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25.8%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviária, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

América Mineiro - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Taina (G) 9. Gadu 15. Iara 6. Ilana 16. Lais 4. Mayara 30. Mimi (C) 11. Radija 10. Rafa Levis 8. Sassa 7. Soraya	1. Luciana (C) 20. Camila 8. Duda 25. Fatima Dutra 4. Luana 11. Mariana Santos 10. Micaelly 14. Millene 16. Mylena Carioca 18. Rafa Soares 22. Raquel
Substitutes
3. Ana Clara 5. Ana Flavia 14. Arias E. 23. Jaja 20. Keka (G) 17. Maisa 28. Mariana Fausto 55. Pimenta 13. Portugal 22. Taluane (G) 27. Thayna 2. Vitoria	12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 24. Catyellen 15. Cris 7. Darlene 17. Julia Beatriz 2. Kati 35. Kaylaine 99. Nenem 5. Nicoly 9. Vendito

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', 🟨,
45+2', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Gadu ⚽,
58', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ferroviária is Qualified for Brasileiro Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

América MG is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Ferroviária has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ferroviária may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, América MG has had a series of away games.

In this match, Ferroviária is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, América MG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro Women
Brasileiro Women
14.06.25	Flamengo - América Mineiro	3:0 ✺
07.06.25	Internacional - América Mineiro	3:2 ✺
21.05.25	América Mineiro - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
18.05.25	Real Brasilia - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
14.06.25	Ferroviária - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
08.06.25	Bahia - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
05.06.25	Ferroviária - Santos	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
21.05.25	Ferroviária - Juventude	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Cruzeiro - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
19.05.24	Ferroviária - América Mineiro	2:0

América Mineiro - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide