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Current Win Probability
América Mineiro 43.2%
Draw 30.9%
Operário Ferroviario 25.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.9%
29.8%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.7%
31.7%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
28.6%
28.6%
42.9%
América Mineiro - Operário Ferroviario Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.5 - América MG (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. América MG (votes: 1 - 25%). Operário PR (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gustavo (G) 18. Julio Cesar 45. Ricardo Silva (C) 3. Lucao 29. Paulinho 8. Felipe Amaral 5. Elizari F. 15. Kaua Diniz 39. Arthur Sousa 9. Willian Bigode 17. Stenio
1. Elias Curzel (G) 18. Gabriel Souza 16. Miranda 4. Giraldo J. 90. Cristiano 5. Indio 8. Zuluaga J. 88. Neto Paraiba 10. Boschilia (C) 99. Ademilson 7. Rodrigo Rodrigues
Substitutes
20. Aloisio 27. Cassio Meneses (G) 36. Dalbert 70. David da Hora 2. Emerson Santos 96. Labandeira F. 23. Mariano 42. Miqueias 10. Ortiz C. 4. Rafa Barcelos 99. Rafa Silva 40. Yago Souza
34. Andre 21. Brenno Pereira 89. Daniel Amorim 6. Jefferson 75. Kleiton 22. Leo Silva 72. Thales Oleques 13. Thiaguinho 33. Vagner (G) 9. Vinicius Mingotti 31. Vitor Pernambuco
Coaches
Alberto Valentim
Alex
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Willian Bigode ⚽, Julio Cesar (A),
33', 1 - 1, Neto Paraiba ⚽,
41', Stenio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Elizari F. ↓, Ortiz C. ↑,
66', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
66', Zuluaga J. ↓, Kleiton ↑,
72', Stenio ↓, Rafa Silva ↑,
72', Paulinho ↓, Dalbert ↑,
74', Cristiano ↓, Jefferson ↑,
74', Ademilson ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
79', Julio Cesar ↓, David da Hora ↑,
79', Willian Bigode ↓, Miqueias ↑,
88', Giraldo J. 🟨,
88', Neto Paraiba ↓, Andre ↑,
90+5', Miqueias 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América MG won 2.
América MG is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Operário PR is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Operário PR may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, América MG is considered a favorite.
There will not play in América MG: Ale
(Knee Injury)
Dalbert
(Inactive)
Fabinho
(Inactive)
Marlon
(Injury)
There will not play in Operário PR: Gabriel Feliciano
(Injury)
There are questionable in América MG: Arthur Sousa
(Injury)
David da Hora
(Inactive)
Kaua Diniz
(Injury)
There are questionable in Operário PR: Filipe Claudino
(Inactive)
Marcos Paulo
(Inactive)
Nilson Junior
(Inactive)
Pedro Lucas
(Inactive)
Vitor Pernambuco
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, América MG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, América MG won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Brazil
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Gustavo (G) 
Elizari F. 
Giraldo J. 
Labandeira F. 
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