Match Info

Date: 9 January 2021, Saturday


	América Mineiro		Vitória Salvador

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.5	Watch
	1.65	3.3	5
	1.62	3.35	5.2	Watch
	1.59	3.55	5.6
	1.64	3.8	6.14
	1.63	3.5	5.5
	1.63	3.78	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)	3.55 ↑ (3.36)	5.5 ↑ (4.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
57.2%

Draw
26%

Vitória Salvador
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

27.4%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22.1%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Vitória Salvador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América Mineiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória Salvador than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Vitória will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América MG: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 16).

Recent matches América MG is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitória is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

América MG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match América MG is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches América MG won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17-15.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
02.01.21	Guaraní Asuncion - América Mineiro	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.12.20	América Mineiro - Palmeiras	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
26.12.20	América Mineiro - CRB Maceio	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.12.20	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
20.12.20	América Mineiro - Chapecoense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWTT
- EC Vitória Salvador
Brazilian Serie B
03.01.21	Vitória Salvador - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
22.12.20	CS Alagoano - Vitória Salvador	3:0 ✺
18.12.20	Osasco Sporting - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
15.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Juventude	1:0 ✺
11.12.20	Vitória Salvador - Cruzeiro	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.10.20	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	1:2
15.11.19	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	2:1
21.08.19	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	0:0
Brazilian Serie A
01.09.18	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	1:0
30.04.18	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	2:1
28.08.16	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	2:1
25.05.16	América Mineiro - Vitória Salvador	1:1

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