Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 17

Date: 30 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: da Silva Machado B. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	América Mineiro		Palmeiras

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.5	2.2	Watch
	3.7	3.5	2.02
	3.38	3.4	2.28
	3.4	3.2	1.95
	3.36	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.2	3.3	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↓ (3.78)	3.38 ↓ (3.47)	2.13 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
27.9%

Draw
27.9%

Palmeiras
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.8%

27.1%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

26.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Palmeiras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

América Mineiro - Palmeiras Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 20. Daniel Borges 33. Eder Ferreira 3. Iago Maidana 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 16. Ale (C) 5. Emmanuel Martinez 10. Martin Benitez 47. Paulinho Boia 17. Gonzalo Mastriani 29. Pedrinho	21. Weverton (G) 12. Mayke 15. Gomez G. (C) 26. Murilo 22. Joaquin Piquerez 25. Gabriel Menino 8. Ze Rafael 14. Artur 23. Raphael Veiga 40. Jhon Jhon 10. Rony
Substitutes
28. Cascardo Lemos B. 18. Cesar J. 37. Everaldo 11. Felipe Azevedo 12. Jori (G) 8. Juninho 21. Lucas Kal 25. Marcinho 6. Marlon 7. Matheusinho 65. Rodrigo Varanda 9. Wellington Paulista	19. Breno Lopes 9. Endrick 35. Fabinho 30. Jailson 18. Jose Lopez 37. Kevin 13. Luan 31. Luis Guilherme 42. Marcelo Lomba (G) 2. Marcos Rocha 27. Richard Rios 6. Vanderlan
Coaches
Mancini V.	Ferreira A.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 1.

América MG is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Palmeiras is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently América MG have a series of guest games.

Palmeiras will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in América MG: Adyson (Injury) Dada Belmonte (Injury) Mikael (Injury) Ricardo Silva (Injury)

There will not play in Palmeiras: Atuesta E. (Injury) Dudu (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches América MG won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 9-21.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
22.07.23	Flamengo - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
18.07.23	América Mineiro - Colo-Colo	5:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
15.07.23	Corinthians - América Mineiro	4:2 penalties ✺
Copa Sudamericana
11.07.23	Colo-Colo - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.07.23	Coritiba - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWLLL
- Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A
22.07.23	Palmeiras - Fortaleza	3:1 ✺
16.07.23	Internacional RS - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.07.23	Palmeiras - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.07.23	Palmeiras - Flamengo	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.07.23	São Paulo - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
09.11.22	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	2:1
21.07.22	América Mineiro - Palmeiras	0:1
06.10.21	América Mineiro - Palmeiras	2:1
20.06.21	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	2:1
Copa do Brasil
30.12.20	América Mineiro - Palmeiras	0:2
23.12.20	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
21.11.18	Palmeiras - América Mineiro	4:0

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