Match Info

Serie D - Round 14

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena das Dunas (Natal)


	América RN		Horizonte

	1	X	2
	1.41	4	6.5
	1.48	3.75	5.7
	1.44	4.26	6.87
	1.45	3.78	6.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.79)	3.95 ↑ (3.55)	6.5 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
63%

Draw
23%

Horizonte
14%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

25.5%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

24.6%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América RN's performance.

Horizonte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Horizonte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América RN than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América RN that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horizonte than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horizonte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

América RN - Horizonte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. América RN (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Horizonte (2.15) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. América RN (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Horizonte (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Giva ⚽,
29', 2 - 0, Hebert ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', 🟥,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals))

América RN is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, América RN is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that América RN will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, América RN won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.25	Treze - América RN	1:2 ✺
13.07.25	América RN - Central SC	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	América RN - Santa Cruz Recife	0:0 ✺
28.06.25	Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN	1:2 ✺
16.06.25	América RN - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTTWW
- Horizonte FC
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.25	Horizonte - Santa Cruz Recife	2:0 ✺
13.07.25	Horizonte - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Treze - Horizonte	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Sousa - Horizonte	3:1 ✺
15.06.25	Horizonte - Central SC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.25	Horizonte - América RN	0:0

América RN - Horizonte: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide