Match Info

Copa do Nordeste - Round 1

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Arena das Dunas (Natal)


	América RN		Maranhão

	1	X	2
	2	3.6	3
	1.77	3.4	4.33
	1.92	3.1	3.6
	1.99	3.2	3.95
	1.96	3.21	3.77
	1.95	2.9	3.75
	1.92	3.06	3.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.73)	3.21 ↓ (3.5)	3.76 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
47.3%

Draw
28.4%

Maranhão
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

25.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

25%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for América RN, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

América RN - Maranhão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Renan Braganca (G) 18. Augusto Galvan 30. Carlos Coppetti 38. Cassiano 26. Charles 93. Judson (C) 32. Lucas Mendes 22. Lucas Rodrigues 13. Renzo 8. Souza 77. Wellington	1. Jean (G) 2. Bal 7. Felipe Sales 18. Keven 4. Lucao 6. Lucas Santos 19. Rafael Teixeira 5. Railson 15. Rosivan 20. Vagalume 17. Will
Substitutes
14. Allan 6. Antonio 39. Caue Cunha 21. Elias 37. Gustavo Ferreira 20. Jadson 16. Joaozinho 17. Josiel 45. Lucao (G) 23. Pedro Jorge 2. Ricardo Luz	16. Andre Radija 21. Joelson 10. Jorge Rocha 3. Luis Fernando 26. Luis Gustavo 11. Pimentinha 22. Rodrigo 14. Tiburcio 12. Victor Guilherme (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Cassiano ⚽,
37', Wellington 🟨,
39', Lucas Santos ↓, Andre Radija ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Lucas Rodrigues 🟨,
54', Jean 🟨,
54', 🟨,
54', 🟨,
56', Felipe Sales ↓, Pimentinha ↑,
65', Augusto Galvan ↓, Josiel ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Cassiano ⚽,
68', Rafael Teixeira ↓, Joelson ↑,
68', Rosivan ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
68', Vagalume ↓, Jorge Rocha ↑,
82', Souza ↓, Antonio ↑,
82', Cassiano ↓, Joaozinho ↑,
86', Lucas Mendes ↓, Ricardo Luz ↑,
86', Carlos Coppetti ↓, Jadson ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

América RN has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maranhão is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

América RN may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, América RN is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
21.03.26	ABC - América RN	1:2 penalties ✺
18.03.26	América RN - ABC	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	América RN - Potiguar	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Volta Redonda - América RN	1:0 penalties ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
07.03.26	Potiguar - América RN	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTTLW
- Maranhão AC
Copa do Brasil
12.03.26	Maranhão - Ceará	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
01.03.26	IAPE - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	São Luiz - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
22.02.26	Maranhão - IAPE	0:0 ✺
11.02.26	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWTL

América RN - Maranhão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide