The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
América de Cali 48.3%
Draw 27.4%
Millonarios 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
28.8%
26.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.4%
26.2%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América de Cali that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Millonarios could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
América de Cali - Millonarios Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Giraldo N. (G) 20. Chanchi I. 32. Chara Mina N. 2. Gonzalez Z. 16. Basanta L. 13. Agudelo M. 4. Ospina D. (C) 77. Rivas M. 6. Munoz M. 7. Bahr E. M. 19. Castillo V.
12. Gamboa D. (G) 14. Gutierrez M. 23. Viafara F. 26. Benavides M. 17. Tamayo L. 4. Bolano L. 15. Ariza T. 8. Ortegon J. 16. Gomez L. 22. Torres M. 10. Castellanos D.
Substitutes
17. Arias C. 28. Beltran L. 22. Caro J. 12. Coronel N. (G) 27. Cortes C. 29. Graterol F. 24. Hernandez M. 31. Mosquera A. 18. Santos S.
3. Amado I. 7. Castaneda Vanegas A. J. 21. Madrid N. 25. Olaya R. 6. Olivares L. 18. Quiroga P. 30. Reyes L. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rivas M. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
63', Agudelo M. ↓, Caro J. ↑,
63', Castillo V. ↓, Graterol F. ↑,
66', Graterol F. 🟨,
69', Gomez L. ↓, Olaya R. ↑,
74', Tamayo L. 🟨,
75', 1 - 0, Bahr E. M. (Pen),
78', Bolano L. ↓, Olivares L. ↑,
78', Ariza T. ↓, Castaneda Vanegas A. J. ↑,
79', Gonzalez Z. ↓, Arias C. ↑,
86', Torres M. ↓, Amado I. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Olaya R. ⚽, Castellanos D. (A),
90+4', Basanta L. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 2.
América de Cali has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Millonarios is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
América de Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
América de Cali might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, América de Cali won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, América de Cali won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
Watch
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Giraldo N. (G) 
Basanta L. 
Benavides M. 
Olivares L. 
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