Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 25

Date: 16 August 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito) 🌤️ ...


	América de Quito		Independiente Juniors

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.4
	2.81	3.19	2.49
	2.75	2.8	2.55
	2.62	3.3	2.49
	2.55	3.2	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.81)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.49 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Quito
34.4%

Draw
29%

Independiente Juniors
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.2%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

América de Quito - Independiente Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 2.

América de Quito is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Independiente Juniors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Independiente Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-11.

Including matches at home between the teams América de Quito won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.23	América de Quito - Búhos ULVR	2:2 ✺
01.08.23	Manta - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
25.07.23	América de Quito - Imbabura	1:2 ✺
20.07.23	Vinotinto - América de Quito	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	América de Quito - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TTLLT
- Independiente Juniors
Ecuadorian Serie B
10.08.23	Independiente Juniors - Imbabura	0:0 ✺
02.08.23	Búhos ULVR - Independiente Juniors	0:0 ✺
26.07.23	Independiente Juniors - Deportivo Macará	1:0 ✺
19.07.23	9 de Octubre - Independiente Juniors	4:0 ✺
12.07.23	Independiente Juniors - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
13.06.23	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	3:2
20.04.23	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	4:1
30.10.22	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	1:1
09.06.22	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	4:0
15.04.22	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	1:0
06.10.21	América de Quito - Independiente Juniors	1:1
10.08.21	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	1:2

América de Quito - Independiente Juniors