The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Independiente Juniors 42.7%
Draw 29%
Imbabura 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
23.7%
17.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
22.4%
16.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Juniors's form might have worsened.
Imbabura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Imbabura's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Juniors than the current prediction. (+19.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Juniors, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Imbabura than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Imbabura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
22.2%
11.1%
Independiente Juniors - Imbabura Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Independiente Jr will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Imbabura will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Independiente Jr: 35.9% – 97.5%.
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion Group: ) and 11 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).
Imbabura is Serie B (Relegation Group )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 2.
Independiente Jr is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Imbabura is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Independiente Jr is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Independiente Jr will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Independiente Jr won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Independiente Jr won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 1.5:0.5).
Ecuador
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