Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 2

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Amarante Stadium (Amarante)


	Amarante		Académica Coimbra

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.05	2.28
	3.22	3.18	2.36
	2.94	3.12	2.45	Watch
	3	2.9	2.3
	2.97	3.3	2.33
	2.71	3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (3.47)	3.09 ↑ (2.93)	2.36 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amarante
31.2%

Draw
29.8%

Académica Coimbra
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

31.2%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

30.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amarante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amarante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Amarante - Académica Coimbra Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Amarante will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Académica will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Duarte M. (G) 3. Mendes F. 4. Filipe J. 22. Vivas S. 80. Ventura 6. Almeida F. 8. Zangre A. 28. Pedro R. 20. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 10. Rodrigues D. 23. Saint-Louis J.	98. Alves C. (G) 11. Farias E. 3. Teixeira R. 4. Silva G. 15. Kaka 5. Silva L. 6. Montez A. 19. Xavier 28. Cascavel 93. Souza B. 18. Cuba
Substitutes
88. Aguiar E. 30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 90. Arome 7. Conceicao M. 13. Flores R. (G) 5. Innusah H. 58. Meireles A. 2. Ribeiro O. 99. Roger	2. Baixinho M. 9. Barbosa N. 21. Candeias D. 12. Gabriel Passos 8. Jesus P. 23. Karseladze J. 1. Macedo N. (G) 7. Tiago Andre 14. Triana C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', Xavier ↓, Triana C. ↑,
66', Cuba ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Saint-Louis J. ⚽, Moreno Tavares Cunha M. (A),
78', Souza B. ↓, Barbosa N. ↑,
85', Kaka ↓, Tiago Andre ↑,
85', Cascavel ↓, Jesus P. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Triana C. ⚽,
89', Rodrigues D. ↓, Arome ↑,
90+3', Almeida F. ↓, Innusah H. ↑,

Preview

Recent performances by Amarante have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Académica is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Amarante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Amarante won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Académica Coimbra - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.47%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
22.03.26	Amarante - Vitoria Guimarães B	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	União de Santarém - Amarante	1:2 ✺
08.03.26	Amarante - Trofense	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Belenenses - Amarante	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Amarante - Mafra	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.8 WWWWW
- Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3
22.03.26	Trofense - Académica Coimbra	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Académica Coimbra - Mafra	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Varzim - Académica Coimbra	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Belenenses - Académica Coimbra	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
22.10.23	Amarante - Académica Coimbra	1:0

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