Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Campo Cha das Padeiras (Santarem)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	União de Santarém		Amarante

	1	X	2
	2.48	2.78	2.92
	2.68	2.88	3.03
	2.49	2.8	3.21	Watch
	2.25	2.8	3.1
	2.55	2.97	2.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.44)	2.85 ↓ (3.01)	3.04 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União de Santarém
37.1%

Draw
32.5%

Amarante
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

30.9%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União de Santarém has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Amarante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União de Santarém than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amarante than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

União de Santarém - Amarante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Pedro Teixeira (G) 17. Aguas G. 84. Ayiah E. 13. Bura 11. Goncalves E. F. 16. Grilo M. (C) 3. Joao Ricardo 6. Nanco I. 33. Rodrigues M. 20. Ventura B. 28. Vinhas D.	1. Duarte M. (G) 6. Almeida F. 7. Conceicao M. 4. Filipe J. (C) 5. Innusah H. 20. Moreno Tavares Cunha M. 28. Pedro R. 23. Saint-Louis J. 80. Ventura 22. Vivas S. 8. Zangre A.
Substitutes
22. Hidalgo N. (G) 90. Koume S. 10. Madeira T. 24. Medalli N. 58. Monteiro D. 4. Pereira P. 14. Simoes J. 7. Teixeira G. 29. Teixeira R.	88. Aguiar E. 30. Antunes Tiago C. J. 90. Arome 13. Flores R. (G) 58. Meireles A. 3. Mendes F. 2. Ribeiro O. 10. Rodrigues D. 99. Roger

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Bura ⚽, Grilo M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ventura ↓, Meireles A. ↑,
46', Innusah H. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
46', Zangre A. ↓, Arome ↑,
59', Ayiah E. ↓, Koume S. ↑,
65', Bura ↓, Pereira P. ↑,
76', Filipe J. ↓, Ribeiro O. ↑,
76', Moreno Tavares Cunha M. ↓, Antunes Tiago C. J. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Rodrigues D. (Penalty Awarded),
81', Rodrigues M. ↓, Teixeira G. ↑,
88', Teixeira G. 🟨,
90', 1 - 2, Saint-Louis J. ⚽, Arome (A),

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: ))

Recent performances by Santarém have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Amarante is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Amarante may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Santarém could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Santarém won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União de Santarém
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.26	União de Santarém - Belenenses	0:2 ✺
04.03.26	União de Santarém - Mafra	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Académica Coimbra - União de Santarém	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	União de Santarém - Vitoria Guimarães B	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Trofense - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLLW
- Amarante FC
Portuguese Liga 3
08.03.26	Amarante - Trofense	1:0 ✺
01.03.26	Belenenses - Amarante	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Amarante - Mafra	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Varzim - Amarante	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Amarante - Trofense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Amarante - União de Santarém	2:0

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