Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 17

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canais Globo, Claro TV+, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Amazonas		Guarani

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.25	4.33	Watch
	1.88	3.1	4.1
	1.9	3.1	4.5
	1.94	3.2	4.8
	2.01	3.08	4.12	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.33
	1.89	3.2	4.48
	1.9	3.15	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.07)	3.15 ↑ (2.93)	4.37 ↑ (3.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
48.8%

Draw
29.7%

Guarani
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

31.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

30.9%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	16.7%	8.3%

Amazonas - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amazonas: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcao (G) 2. Ezequiel 4. Miranda 14. Ivan Alvarino 6. Fabiano (C) 5. Jorge Jimenez 18. Cauan Barros 10. Rafael Tavares 11. Matheus Serafim 22. Enio 99. Sassa	89. Vladimir (G) 28. Pacheco 15. Rene 12. Lucas Adell 13. Matheus Salustiano 32. Yuji 33. Gabriel Bispo 18. Matheus Bueno 10. Luan Dias 99. Caio Dantas 30. Airton
Substitutes
70. Bruno Lopes 26. Cocote 8. Diego Torres 1. Edson Mardden (G) 20. Erick Varao 17. Guilherme Xavier 15. Jonny 9. Luan Silva 13. Renan Castro 3. Thiago Spice 21. Uchuari J. 19. William Barbio	22. Alvaro (G) 5. Anderson Leite 39. dos Anjos D. 31. Douglas Borges (G) 19. Joao Victor 21. Lucas Araujo 7. Luccas Paraizo 16. Manoel P. 8. Marlon Douglas 20. Reinaldo
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda	Pintado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', Pacheco 🟨,
21', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
41', Jorge Jimenez 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Airton ⚽,
45+7', 1 - 1, Sassa ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jorge Jimenez ↓, Erick Varao ↑,
50', Yuji 🟨,
58', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,
62', Enio ↓, Cocote ↑,
68', Pacheco ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
68', Yuji ↓, Manoel P. ↑,
68', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Lucas Araujo ↑,
73', Cauan Barros ↓, Diego Torres ↑,
74', Ezequiel ↓, Luan Silva ↑,
78', Airton ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
83', Luan Dias 🟨,
84', Luan Dias ↓, Reinaldo ↑,
84', Ivan Alvarino ↓, Renan Castro ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

Recent matches Amazonas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guarani is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Amazonas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Amazonas is a favorite.

There will not play in Guarani: Bruno Mendes (Injury) Camacho (Injury) Pegorari (Injury) Vinicius Kaue (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
20.07.24	América Mineiro - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
12.07.24	Botafogo SP - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
08.07.24	Amazonas - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
30.06.24	Avaí - Amazonas	1:1 ✺
25.06.24	Amazonas - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TWLTW
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie B
21.07.24	Guarani - Goiás	2:3 ✺
13.07.24	Grêmio Novorizontino - Guarani	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Guarani - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
30.06.24	Guarani - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
22.06.24	CRB Maceio - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTLTL

Amazonas - Guarani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide