Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 22

Date: 20 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Municipal Carlos Zamith (Manaus)

Referee: Gomes T. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Amazonas		Ponte Preta

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.6
	1.75	3.3	5
	1.79	3.52	5.22
	1.8	3.41	4.6	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.6
	1.76	3.44	4.85	Watch
	1.75	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.99)	3.42 ↑ (3.09)	4.83 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amazonas
53.2%

Draw
27.4%

Ponte Preta
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

30.2%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

28.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amazonas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amazonas's performance.

Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	41.7%	16.7%

Amazonas - Ponte Preta Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Amazonas will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Ponte Preta will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Amazonas: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Marcao (G) 2. Ezequiel 4. Miranda 14. Ivan Alvarino 6. Fabiano (C) 7. Erick Varao 18. Cauan Barros 8. Diego Torres 22. Enio 9. Luan Silva 11. Matheus Serafim	1. Pedro Rocha (G) 2. Igor Inocencio 4. Mateus Silva 13. Joilson 33. Risso G. 8. Emerson Santos (C) 18. Emerson Santos 7. Dodo 29. Everton Brito 9. Jeh 77. Matheus Regis
Substitutes
1. Fabian Volpi (G) 17. Guilherme Xavier 70. Igor Bolt 20. Jonny 5. Jorge Jimenez 10. Rafael Tavares 99. Sassa 16. Sidcley 13. Tiago Cameta 21. Uchuari J. 3. Wellington Manzoli 19. William Barbio	3. Edson Rogerio 70. Guilherme Dantas 80. Hudson 11. Iago Dias 16. Jean Carlos 30. Luan Ribeiro (G) 44. Nilson Junior 21. Ramon 19. Renato 58. Thomas Luciano 98. Venicius
Coaches
Rafael Lacerda	Baptista N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Igor Inocencio 🟨,
8', 1 - 0, Luan Silva ⚽, Erick Varao (A),
17', Ivan Alvarino 🟨,
25', Mateus Silva 🟨,
45+2', Jeh 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Matheus Regis ↓, Ramon ↑,
46', Cauan Barros ↓, Jorge Jimenez ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Matheus Serafim ⚽, Diego Torres (A),
56', 2 - 1, Igor Inocencio ⚽, Ramon (A),
61', Joilson ↓, Iago Dias ↑,
64', Ivan Alvarino ↓, Sidcley ↑,
64', Erick Varao ↓, Guilherme Xavier ↑,
69', Everton Brito ↓, Renato ↑,
69', Dodo ↓, Guilherme Dantas ↑,
71', Luan Silva 🟨,
77', Risso G. ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
79', Diego Torres ↓, Wellington Manzoli ↑,
84', Matheus Serafim ↓, Rafael Tavares ↑,
90+1', Guilherme Dantas 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Amazonas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Amazonas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amazonas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
17.08.24	Amazonas - CRB Maceio	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Sport Recife - Amazonas	3:2 ✺
03.08.24	Amazonas - Ituano	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Amazonas - Guarani	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	América Mineiro - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWTT
- AA Ponte Preta
Brazilian Serie B
16.08.24	Ponte Preta - Goiás	1:1 ✺
11.08.24	Coritiba - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
04.08.24	Ponte Preta - Avaí	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	3:1 ✺
23.07.24	Ponte Preta - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
06.05.24	Ponte Preta - Amazonas	3:0

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