Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 20

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho (Recife)

Referee: da Fonseca Silva R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Canal GOAT, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Sport Recife		Amazonas

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.5	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.75
	1.57	3.75	6
	1.55	3.98	6.8
	1.66	3.51	5.67	Watch
	1.55	3.7	6
	1.6	3.7	5.88	Watch
	1.57	3.75	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.53)	3.69 ↑ (3.55)	6.08 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Recife
59.2%

Draw
25.4%

Amazonas
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

25.2%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60%

24.6%

15.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Amazonas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amazonas than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Sport Recife - Amazonas Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Amazonas will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caique Franca (G) 7. Fabinho 2. Allyson 40. Luciano Castan 29. Dalbert 94. Felipe 43. Luciano 8. Dominguez F. 19. Lucas Lima 30. Chrystian Barletta 9. Gustavo Coutinho	12. Marcao (G) 2. Ezequiel 4. Miranda 6. Fabiano 21. Renan Castro 18. Cauan Barros 7. Erick Varao 8. Diego Torres 10. Rafael Tavares 11. Matheus Serafim 9. Luan Silva
Substitutes
12. Alisson Cassiano 44. Chico 20. Di Placido L. 47. Fabio Matheus 6. Felipinho 16. Igor Carius 77. Lenny Lobato 59. Ortiz C. 48. Pedro Martins 21. Thiago Couto (G) 18. Wellincton S. 99. Ze Roberto	26. Cocote 22. Enio 1. Fabian Volpi (G) 15. Jorge Jimenez 5. Philippe Guimaraes 99. Sassa 16. Sidcley 13. Tiago Cameta 23. Uchuari J. 3. Wellington Manzoli 19. William Barbio
Coaches
Guto Ferreira	Rafael Lacerda

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Chrystian Barletta ⚽, Dominguez F. (A),
15', 2 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Lucas Lima (A),
16', Rafael Lacerda 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Luan Silva ⚽, Erick Varao (A),
45', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
45+4', Felipe 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Rafael Tavares ↓, Enio ↑,
46', Ezequiel ↓, Tiago Cameta ↑,
49', Luciano 🟨,
55', Fabinho ↓, Di Placido L. ↑,
55', Luciano ↓, Fabio Matheus ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Luan Silva ⚽, Enio (A),
65', Luciano Castan 🟨,
67', Fabio Matheus ↓, Wellington Silva ↑,
67', Dalbert ↓, Igor Carius ↑,
68', Felipinho 🟨,
77', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
81', Luan Silva ↓, Sassa ↑,
81', Diego Torres ↓, Cocote ↑,
84', 3 - 2, Ze Roberto ⚽,
87', Renan Castro ↓, Sidcley ↑,
90+1', Sassa 🟨,
90+2', Dominguez F. 🟨,
90+4', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
90+4', Gustavo Coutinho 🟨,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 and 13).

Recife is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Amazonas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Recife is absolute favorite.

There will not play in Recife: Palacios H. (Injury) Pedro Vilhena (Injury) Rafael Thyere (Injury) Romarinho (Injury)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Recife won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
02.08.24	Santos - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Sport Recife - Ponte Preta	3:1 ✺
23.07.24	Chapecoense - Sport Recife	1:1 ✺
13.07.24	Sport Recife - América Mineiro	1:1 ✺
07.07.24	Guarani - Sport Recife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWTTW
- Amazonas FC
Brazilian Serie B
03.08.24	Amazonas - Ituano	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Amazonas - Guarani	1:1 ✺
20.07.24	América Mineiro - Amazonas	0:0 ✺
12.07.24	Botafogo SP - Amazonas	0:1 ✺
08.07.24	Amazonas - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
20.04.24	Amazonas - Sport Recife	2:3

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