Match Info

TURKEY: 1. Lig - Round 20

Date: 18 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Diyarbakir Stadium (Diyarbakır)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, beIN Sports 2, TRT Spor


	Amed SK		Fatih Karagümrükspor

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.3	3.3
	2.19	3.19	3.39	Watch
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.14	3.25	3.25
	2.2	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.4)	3.18 ↓ (3.19)	3.28 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amed SK
42.7%

Draw
29.1%

Fatih Karagümrükspor
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29.5%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amed SK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Fatih Karagümrükspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amed SK than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Amed SK - Fatih Karagümrükspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Amed will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Sapan V. (G) 7. Ucar M. 4. Cetin V. 15. Gezer U. 19. Bayram O. 18. Kurt S. 23. Ceylan Y. 6. Cassubie Y. 11. Traore A. 17. Gradel M. 14. Assombalonga B.	99. Beklevic F. (G) 23. Ulvan T. 4. Demir Y. E. 3. Djilobodji P. (C) 33. Kurukalip C. 11. Johnson D. 14. Doh M. 7. Camacho J. 19. Gurpuz G. 10. Dovedan N. 91. Gray A.
Substitutes
. Adekanye B. 65. Aydin O. 10. Cekdar O. 22. Davas D. 83. Dogan O. K. (G) 35. Koc A. 36. N'Koulou N. 99. Taylan Y. 24. Tur B. 21. Yesil M.	18. Akgun A. 1. Bilgin E. (G) 94. Cinar A. 6. Dabanli B. 72. Kalayci B. 20. Mert M. 21. Paoletti F. 17. Sivri A. 22. Tintis E.
Coaches
Cetin S.	Korkmaz O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Gradel M. ↓, Adekanye B. ↑,
18', Ceylan Y. 🟨,
23', 0 - 1, Camacho J. ⚽,
43', Djilobodji P. 🟨,
45+1', Doh M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Doh M. 🟨,
63', Gezer U. 🟨,
63', Beklevic F. 🟨,
65', Gray A. ↓, Paoletti F. ↑,
68', Ceylan Y. ↓, Cekdar O. ↑,
74', Traore A. 🟨,
81', Camacho J. ↓, Sivri A. ↑,
89', Kurukalip C. ↓, Akgun A. ↑,
89', Dovedan N. ↓, Tintis E. ↑,
89', Cassubie Y. ↓, Taylan Y. ↑,
90+1', Ulvan T. 🟨,
90+6', Akgun A. 🟨,
90+7', 1 - 1, Taylan Y. ⚽, Ucar M. (A),

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).

Recent matches Amed is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karagümrük is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Amed could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Amed will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Amed: Adekanye B. (Injury) Lovric K. (Yellow Cards) Traore A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Karagümrük: Cankaya A. R. (Yellow Cards) Wesley Moraes (Yellow Cards)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Amed won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:4 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Amed won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amed SK
Turkish First League
12.01.25	Amed SK - Ankaragücü	1:0 ✺
05.01.25	Adanaspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
23.12.24	Amed SK - Umraniyespor	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.12.24	Alanyaspor - Amed SK	3:2 ✺
Turkish First League
15.12.24	Çorum - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWLT
- Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish First League
11.01.25	Igdirspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
07.01.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Çaykur Rizespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish First League
04.01.25	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Pendikspor	0:2 ✺
22.12.24	Keçiörengücü - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
18.12.24	Umraniyespor - Fatih Karagümrükspor	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
11.08.24	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Amed SK	0:0
Turkish Second League White Group
15.03.17	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Amed SK	2:2
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.04.16	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Amed SK	1:1
28.11.15	Amed SK - Fatih Karagümrükspor	0:1

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