Match Info
Copa Rio - 1/8-finalsDate: 15 July 2026, Wednesday
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America RJ |
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Nova Iguaçu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.00 |
3.20 |
1.78 |
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3.65 |
3.20 |
1.88 |
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 |
3.82 |
3.08 |
1.86 |
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4.38 |
3.44 |
1.74 |
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3.70 |
3.00 |
1.80 |
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3.95 |
3.24 |
1.85 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.92 ↑ (3.01) |
3.19 ↑ (3.12) |
1.82 ↓ (2.21) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
America RJ 22.8% | Draw 28% | Nova Iguaçu 49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
America RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that America RJ's form might have worsened.Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nova Iguaçu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for America RJ than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for America RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.America RJ - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 69', 0 - 1, Daniel Zavoli ⚽,
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, America RJ won 1.America RJ is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Nova Iguaçu has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).America RJ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Nova Iguaçu will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, America RJ won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).Including home matches between the teams, America RJ won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Nova Iguaçu - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 40.98%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Campeonato Carioca | | | 10.02.21 | Nova Iguaçu - America RJ | 1:0 | | 23.01.21 | America RJ - Nova Iguaçu | 1:1 | | 04.07.20 | America RJ - Nova Iguaçu | 1:1 | | 07.03.20 | Nova Iguaçu - America RJ | 0:2 | | 19.02.20 | Nova Iguaçu - America RJ | 2:2 | | 05.02.20 | America RJ - Nova Iguaçu | 1:2 | | 11.01.20 | Nova Iguaçu - America RJ | 4:0 |
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