Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stade Gaston Gérard (Dijon)

Referee: Lissorgue R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Dijon		Le Havre

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.55
	2.7	3.15	2.6
	2.8	3	2.49
	3.06	3.01	2.65
	2.9	2.88	2.55	Watch
	2.91	3.04	2.58	Watch
	2.8	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.63)	3.05 ↓ (3.15)	2.55 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
32.7%

Draw
30.7%

Le Havre
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.5%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

29.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	46.7%	40%

Dijon - Le Havre Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 12 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 46.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Dijon has the most likely position - 10 (7.66%), has project points - 52, has currently - 11, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

Le Havre has the most likely position - 2 (9.93%), has project points - 61, has currently - 18, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a small chance of win league (8%).

This event has quality 37, small importance 28, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dijon won 3.

Dijon is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Le Havre in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Dijon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 2
17.09.22	Bordeaux - Dijon	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Dijon - Sochaux	0:2 ✺
02.09.22	Bastia - Dijon	1:0 ✺
30.08.22	Dijon - Annecy	0:2 ✺
27.08.22	Metz - Dijon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLLLW
- Le Havre AC
French Ligue 2
17.09.22	Le Havre - Annecy	2:0 ✺
10.09.22	Niort - Le Havre	0:1 ✺
02.09.22	Le Havre - Caen	2:1 ✺
30.08.22	Laval - Le Havre	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	Le Havre - Amiens	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.03.22	Dijon - Le Havre	2:0
02.10.21	Le Havre - Dijon	2:0
08.02.16	Le Havre - Dijon	0:2
18.09.15	Dijon - Le Havre	2:1
07.03.15	Dijon - Le Havre	1:1
26.09.14	Le Havre - Dijon	1:0
14.03.14	Dijon - Le Havre	1:2

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