Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 18

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday

Location: Stade de la Mosson (Montpellier)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 2, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV


	Montpellier		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.88	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.35	3.05	3
	2.5	3.14	2.89	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.9
	2.5	3.04	2.95	Watch
	2.45	3.14	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.31)	3.1 ↓ (3.14)	2.92 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Montpellier
38.4%

Draw
29.9%

Dunkerque
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

29.7%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.6%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dunkerque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37%	18.5%	44.4%

Montpellier - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Montpellier will win (votes: 10 - 40%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 10 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 20.8% – 59.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Dunkerque (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Montpellier (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Montpellier (1.72) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Montpellier (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Dunkerque (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michel M. (G) 29. Tchato E. 15. Laporte J. 27. Omeragic B. (C) 21. Mincarelli L. 44. Chennahi T. 77. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 18. Pays N. 11. Savanier T. 14. Orakpo V. 19. Mendy A.	60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 23. Sasso V. (C) 22. Mayela V. 21. Kondo G. 2. Georgen A. 80. Yassine G. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
50. Dzodic V. (G) 3. El Hannach N. 10. Fayad K. 8. Issoufou Y. 6. Jullien C. 23. Mouanga Y. 33. Thiland Herard R.	18. Diop M. 10. Essimi M. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 26. Sangante O. 57. Seha Z. 7. Sylvestre E.
Coaches
Camara Z.	Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Yassine G. ⚽,
24', Chennahi T. ↓, Fayad K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 2, Sasso V. ⚽, Yassine G. (A),
60', Niflore M. 🟨,
67', Mincarelli L. ↓, El Hannach N. ↑,
67', Orakpo V. ↓, Issoufou Y. ↑,
68', 0 - 3, Robinet T. ⚽, Zossou A. (A),
74', Zossou A. ↓, Essimi M. ↑,
75', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
75', Sekongo A. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
76', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,
81', Yassine G. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
82', Bardeli E. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
83', 1 - 3, Mendy A. ⚽, Savanier T. (A),
89', Sylvestre E. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 6).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Montpellier has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Montpellier: Fayad K. (Inactive) Laporte J. (Inactive) Ngapandouetnbu S. (International duty) Ngosso G. (Knee Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Injury) Sishuba A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sangante O. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Montpellier won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Montpellier: 4.46% Dunkerque: 0.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Montpellier	7	3	3	1	6:5	1	12
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Montpellier HSC
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Canet Roussillon - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
13.12.25	Grenoble - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Montpellier - Pau	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Montceau Bourgogne - Montpellier	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
24.11.25	Reims - Montpellier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTLWL
- USL Dunkerque
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Strasbourg - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Laval - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Rodez - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Dunkerque - Boulogne	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.10.25	Dunkerque - Montpellier	0:1

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