Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 19

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque)

Referee: Batta F. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Dunkerque		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.4	4	Watch
	1.78	3.55	4.25	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4.32	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.2
	1.86	3.6	4.24	Watch
	1.77	3.6	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.7)	3.55 ↓ (3.69)	4.22 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
52%

Draw
26.1%

Pau
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

25.3%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

24.9%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Dunkerque - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Pau will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 23. Sasso V. (C) 22. Mayela V. 21. Kondo G. 2. Georgen A. 77. Zossou A. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 10. Essimi M. 9. Robinet T.	22. Raveyre N. (G) 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 2. Pouilly T. 21. Beusnard S. 84. Touzghar R. 3. Kalulu J. 10. Versini G. 14. Bobichon A. 18. Sadik O.
Substitutes
11. Daho A. 18. Diop M. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 26. Sangante O. 57. Seha Z. 7. Sylvestre E.	9. Dong K. 6. Fall C. 26. Glossoa N. 7. Messi R. 36. Nihouarn T. 40. Paradowski T. (G) 87. Zuliani E.
Coaches
Sanchez A.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Robinet T. ⚽,
11', Karamoko S. 🟨,
24', 2 - 0, Sekongo A. ⚽, Robinet T. (A),
33', Sasso V. 🟨,
39', Touzghar R. 🟨,
43', Kante 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Linguet A. ↓, Sangante O. ↑,
46', Kante ↓, Dong K. ↑,
46', Bobichon A. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
46', Sadik O. ↓, Messi R. ↑,
58', 3 - 0, Sekongo A. ⚽, Kondo G. (A),
60', 3 - 1, Versini G. ⚽, Dong K. (A),
63', Zossou A. 🟨,
65', Essimi M. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
67', Versini G. ↓, Zuliani E. ↑,
67', Pouilly T. ↓, Glossoa N. ↑,
67', Sasso V. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
80', Zossou A. ↓, Kante A. ↑,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 3.

Dunkerque is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Dunkerque has had a series of away games.

In this match, Dunkerque is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Daho A. (Inactive) Diong P. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pau: Briancon A. (Inactive) Gasnier K. (Inactive) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Salles E. (Inactive) Sissoko O. (Inactive)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:19. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Pau FC	8	3	2	3	9:8	1	11
12	Dunkerque	8	2	2	4	10:13	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
05.01.26	Montpellier - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Strasbourg - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.12.25	Laval - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Dunkerque - Saint-Étienne	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Rodez - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWWT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
03.01.26	Pau - Rodez	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Pau - Amiens	1:2 ✺
06.12.25	Montpellier - Pau	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.25	SA Mérignac - Pau	1:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
21.11.25	Pau - Le Mans	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.10.25	Pau - Dunkerque	0:3
10.01.25	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1
20.09.24	Dunkerque - Pau	3:2
09.03.24	Dunkerque - Pau	1:0
02.12.23	Pau - Dunkerque	1:1
12.03.22	Dunkerque - Pau	1:0
24.09.21	Pau - Dunkerque	1:2

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