Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 12

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Leprodhomme T. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Troyes		Amiens

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.75	6.5	Watch
	1.4	4.55	6.9
	1.33	4.86	7.80	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7.38	Watch
	1.46	4.4	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.38)	4.63 ↓ (4.7)	7.04 ↓ (7.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Troyes
66.6%

Draw
20.1%

Amiens
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

19.8%

12.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

18.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Troyes - Amiens Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 50%). Amiens (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Troyes will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Konate H. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 25. Gozzi P. 14. Boura I. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 5. Adeline M. 17. Mille A. 15. Assoumou J. 21. Bentayeb T.	40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 44. Louis C. 27. Lutin R. 20. Kaiboue K. 15. Nduquidi J. 8. Lobry V. (C) 26. Ikia Dimi Y. 11. Averlant T.
Substitutes
1. Boucher Z. (G) 11. Detourbet M. 9. El Idrissy M. 23. Gambor H. 12. Odede E. 3. Ouzenadji A. 20. Ripart R.	25. Appiah A. 7. Hamache I. 9. Mlakar J. 6. Monconduit T. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 59. Talbot N. 94. Touho M.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Daf O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Ikia Dimi Y. ⚽,
34', Maronnier L. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Assoumou J. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
48', 1 - 1, Bentayeb T. (Pen),
49', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
53', 2 - 1, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Ifnaoui M. (A),
55', Chabane A. 🟨,
56', Ripart R. 🟨,
69', Kaiboue K. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
70', Lutin R. ↓, Monconduit T. ↑,
70', Averlant T. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑,
77', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
82', Chabane A. ↓, Talbot N. ↑,
82', Louis C. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
87', Monconduit T. 🟨,
89', 3 - 1, El Idrissy M. ⚽, Detourbet M. (A),
90+1', Adeline M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
90+1', Boura I. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 3.

Troyes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Amiens has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Amiens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Troyes is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Troyes: Lemaitre N. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Amiens: Fofana I. (Red Card) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Ripart R. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Amiens: Monconduit T. (Injury)

We predict that Troyes will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:9. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:4. (average 1.7:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
24.10.25	Reims - Troyes	0:0 ✺
17.10.25	Troyes - Bastia	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Le Mans - Troyes	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Troyes - Annecy	3:1 ✺
23.09.25	Red Star - Troyes	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWTWW
- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
25.10.25	Amiens - Rodez	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Nancy - Amiens	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Amiens - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Dunkerque - Amiens	6:2 ✺
23.09.25	Amiens - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
10.05.25	Troyes - Amiens	1:0
03.01.25	Amiens - Troyes	0:3
27.04.24	Amiens - Troyes	0:0
05.12.23	Troyes - Amiens	2:0
20.03.21	Amiens - Troyes	3:1
28.11.20	Troyes - Amiens	2:1
Club Friendly
15.08.20	Amiens - Troyes	1:2

Upcoming Matches