Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de la Licorne (Amiens)

Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Free


	Amiens		Rodez

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.3	Watch
	3	3.35	2.2
	2.98	3.6	2.31
	2.70	3.22	2.47	Watch
	2.95	3.45	2.28	Watch
	2.7	3.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↑ (2.65)	3.39 ↓ (3.45)	2.34 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
32.2%

Draw
27.7%

Rodez
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

26.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

25.8%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Amiens - Rodez Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Amiens will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rodez: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Rodez (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Rodez will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 39. Chabane A. 34. Bakayoko S. 28. Lo A. 25. Appiah A. 9. Mlakar J. 20. Kaiboue K. 6. Monconduit T. 7. Hamache I. 8. Lobry V. (C) 26. Ikia Dimi Y.	1. Braat Q. (G) 14. Tourraine M. 5. Jolibois C. 4. Magnin M. 3. Lipinski R. (C) 15. Jean-Lambert E. 26. Benchamma S. 6. Mendes J. 22. Joly O. 18. Balde I. 11. Arconte T.
Substitutes
11. Averlant T. 42. Injai C. 44. Louis C. 27. Lutin R. 15. Nduquidi J. 16. Sauvage A. (G) 94. Touho M.	7. Achi M. 10. Baaloudj M. 30. Crombez E. (G) 25. Galves N. 9. Nagera K. 20. Ponti R. 8. Younoussa W.
Coaches
Daf O.	Santini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Balde I. ⚽,
33', Ikia Dimi Y. 🟨,
38', Tourraine M. 🟨,
39', Joly O. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Mlakar J. ⚽,
67', Joly O. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
67', Tourraine M. ↓, Galves N. ↑,
68', Mlakar J. ↓, Averlant T. ↑,
68', Balde I. ↓, Nagera K. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Hamache I. ⚽, Lobry V. (A),
76', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
76', Monconduit T. ↓, Nduquidi J. ↑,
82', Appiah A. ↓, Louis C. ↑,
86', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Touho M. ↑,
86', Kaiboue K. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
86', Jolibois C. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Amiens may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Amiens: Fofana I. (Red Card) Kandil N. (Knee Injury) Manitu M. (Inactive) Rafii Y. (Injury)

There will not play in Rodez: Corredor M. (Inactive) Crombez E. (Inactive) Issanchou Roubiou C. (Inactive) Saka M. (Injury) Tebily H. (Injury) Trouillet A. (Ankle Injury) Vangi D. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Amiens: Ikia Dimi Y. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens SC
French Ligue 2
20.10.25	Nancy - Amiens	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Amiens - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Dunkerque - Amiens	6:2 ✺
23.09.25	Amiens - Saint-Étienne	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Laval - Amiens	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLLLW
- Rodez AF
French Ligue 2
17.10.25	Rodez - Reims	2:2 ✺
04.10.25	Red Star - Rodez	1:1 ✺
26.09.25	Rodez - Pau	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Bastia - Rodez	2:3 ✺
19.09.25	Rodez - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
21.02.25	Rodez - Amiens	1:1
27.09.24	Amiens - Rodez	2:1
09.03.24	Amiens - Rodez	1:1
16.12.23	Rodez - Amiens	2:2
18.03.23	Amiens - Rodez	1:3
01.10.22	Rodez - Amiens	0:1
19.02.22	Rodez - Amiens	1:1

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