Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Troyes		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.6	Watch
	1.92	3.5	3.65	Watch
	1.97	3.79	3.97
	1.88	3.82	3.71	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.6
	1.9	3.65	3.74	Watch
	1.85	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.66 ↓ (3.67)	3.72 ↓ (3.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Troyes
49.3%

Draw
25.6%

Pau
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

25.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

24.1%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Troyes - Pau Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Troyes will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boucher Z. (G) 2. Maronnier L. 6. Monfray A. (C) 23. Gambor H. 38. Diawara S. 17. Mille A. 8. Diop M. 11. Detourbet M. 5. Adeline M. 29. Diawara K. 21. Bentayeb T.	22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 4. Karamoko S. 23. Briancon A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 20. Anziani J. 6. Fall C. 14. Bobichon A. 10. Versini G. 17. Sissoko O.
Substitutes
7. Chavalerin X. 31. Donkor N. 9. El Idrissy M. 40. Konate H. (G) 12. Odede E. 3. Ouzenadji A. 20. Ripart R.	8. Basse S. 9. Dong K. 11. Gasnier K. 19. Kante 34. Lebouath S. 36. Nihouarn T. 30. Salles E. (G)
Coaches
Dumont S.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Fall C. ⚽, Bobichon A. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Versini G. ⚽, Fall C. (A),
28', Mille A. 🟨,
36', Briancon A. 🟨,
37', Diawara K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 2, Bentayeb T. (Penalty Awarded),
44', 2 - 2, Detourbet M. ⚽, Diawara S. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', Bobichon A. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
59', Karamoko S. ↓, Kante ↑,
61', 2 - 3, Kalulu J. ⚽, Sissoko O. (A),
69', Diawara K. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
69', Diawara S. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
77', 3 - 3, Adeline M. ⚽, Ouzenadji A. (A),
77', Sissoko O. ↓, Lebouath S. ↑,
78', Versini G. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
78', Ouzenadji A. 🟨,
82', Raveyre N. 🟨,
84', Ruiz J. 🟨,
90', 4 - 3, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Maronnier L. (A),
90+1', Bentayeb T. 🟨,
90+2', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
90+3', Adeline M. ↓, Chavalerin X. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 2.

Troyes is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Pau has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Troyes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Troyes could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Troyes: Boura I. (Health problems) Gozzi P. (Broken Leg) Ifnaoui M. (Injury) Konate H. (Inactive) Lemaitre N. (Knee Injury) Maronnier L. (Inactive) Phliponeau A. (Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Pau: Beusnard S. (Red Card) Gaspar J. (Inactive) Glossoa N. (Injury) Meddah D. (Yellow Cards) Touzghar R. (Yellow Cards)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
16.02.26	Bastia - Troyes	0:0 ✺
07.02.26	Nancy - Troyes	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
04.02.26	Troyes - Lens	2:4 ✺
French Ligue 2
31.01.26	Troyes - Le Mans	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Guingamp - Troyes	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
13.02.26	Pau - Boulogne	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Red Star - Pau	0:3 ✺
30.01.26	Laval - Pau	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Pau - Grenoble	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Dunkerque - Pau	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
03.11.25	Pau - Troyes	1:1
07.03.25	Pau - Troyes	0:2
29.10.24	Troyes - Pau	3:0
23.04.24	Troyes - Pau	2:2
19.12.23	Pau - Troyes	1:1
23.01.21	Pau - Troyes	0:1
12.09.20	Troyes - Pau	2:0

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