Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 24

Date: 21 February 2025, Friday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)


	Llanelli		Ammanford

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	5 ↓ (6.6)	7.5 ↑ (6.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 10.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
69.8%

Draw
18.1%

Ammanford
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llanelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ammanford than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Llanelli - Ammanford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', Gerrard L. 🟥,
33', 0 - 1, Reed L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Llanelli won 3.

Llanelli in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ammanford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ammanford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Llanelli is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Llanelli won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:18 (average 1.6:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Llanelli won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.8:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh FA Cup
15.02.25	Denbigh Town - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Llanelli - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
24.01.25	Newport City - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Llanelli - Llantwit Major	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWW
- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru South
08.02.25	Ammanford - Pontypridd United	2:3 ✺
24.01.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
17.01.25	Caerau Ely - Ammanford	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Ammanford - Cambrian United	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Ammanford - Afan Lido	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
26.12.24	Ammanford - Llanelli	0:2
22.03.24	Ammanford - Llanelli	1:3
26.12.23	Llanelli - Ammanford	1:2
10.03.23	Ammanford - Llanelli	0:1
12.08.22	Llanelli - Ammanford	1:1
30.04.22	Ammanford - Llanelli	5:0
23.07.21	Llanelli - Ammanford	0:3

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