Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 13

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Eldense		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.3	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.2	4
	1.9	3.25	4.2	Watch
	2	3.3	3.6
	1.94	3.43	4.48
	1.88	3.38	4.3	Watch
	1.9	3.3	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.12)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	4.16 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eldense
49%

Draw
28.4%

Amorebieta
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

29.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

26.7%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eldense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Amorebieta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Eldense - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Eldense will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Amorebieta will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Zubiaurre A. (G) 2. Toni Abad 4. Dumic D. 6. Hernandez C. (C) 23. Mateu M. 20. Chapela I. 8. Ortuno S. 24. Timor D. 9. Soberon M. 7. Andone F. 27. Salcedo E.	30. Campos P. (G) 15. Nunez A. 4. Manu 28. Garreta F. 16. Lasure D. 7. Dorrio J. (C) 20. Sibo K. 8. Moran E. 17. Rodriguez R. 19. Aviles J. 29. Da Graca C. M.
Substitutes
21. Bernal A. 17. Clemente J. 12. Derick Poloni 22. Doue M. 19. Jorquera Romero J. 5. Magana I. S. 15. Mari Sanchez M. 10. Montes C. 29. Ortiz A. 11. Ortuno J. 1. Vallejo G. (G) 16. Youness	10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 3. Etxeita X. 24. Gaya J. 9. Jauregi E. 13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 1. Marino U. (G) 22. Morcillo J. 27. Quintero L. 11. Seguin I.
Coaches
Estevez F.	Mujika H.

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Eldense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Amorebieta is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Eldense will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Eldense won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.23	Ferrol - Eldense	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Eldense - Elche	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Huesca - Eldense	0:1 ✺
04.10.23	Eldense - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Eldense - Real Oviedo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TTWLL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
21.10.23	Amorebieta - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Leganés - Amorebieta	6:0 ✺
08.10.23	Amorebieta - Eibar	1:2 ✺
05.10.23	Ferrol - Amorebieta	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Amorebieta - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
08.04.23	Amorebieta - Eldense	1:0
10.12.22	Eldense - Amorebieta	1:1

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