Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 31

Date: 17 March 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal da Malata (Ferrol)

Referee: Alvendiz L. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV


	Ferrol		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.9	2.55	Watch
	2.95	2.85	2.45
	3	3	2.45
	3.24	2.92	2.63
	3.24	2.93	2.64
	3.16	2.89	2.57	Watch
	3.05	2.9	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↑ (2.9)	2.91 ↓ (3.07)	2.54 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferrol
30.4%

Draw
32.4%

Valladolid
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

30.8%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

31.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

Ferrol - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Ferrol will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cantero A. (G) 24. Cubero S. 4. Garcia H. J. 15. Castro D. 21. Moi 8. Lopez A. 6. Bernal J. 3. Oscar Pinchi 22. Losada I. 23. Serrano N. 20. Gimenez A.	1. Masip J. (G) 2. Perez L. 6. Boyomo F. 34. Tarrega C. 18. Escudero S. 10. Sanchez I. 20. Juric S. 8. Monchu 7. Sylla M. 9. Marcos Andre 19. Ndiaye A.
Substitutes
12. Alex Martin 5. Clemente E. 2. Delmas J. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 9. Justo M. 16. Manzanara F. 18. Martinez B. 11. Nacho 7. Pena H. 19. Sabin	17. Biuk S. 16. de la Hoz C. 13. Ferreira A. (G) 24. Kenedy 12. Lucas Oliveira 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 21. Negredo A. 22. Rosa L. 38. Salazar I. P. 5. Sanchez J. 3. Torres D.
Coaches
Parralo C.	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Marcos Andre (Pen),
18', Serrano N. ⚽, Castro D. (A),
21', Perez L. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
23', Tarrega C. 🟨,
34', Marcos Andre 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Marcos Andre ↓, Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↑,
62', Losada I. ⚽, Serrano N. (A),
63', Ndiaye A. ↓, Negredo A. ↑,
63', Sanchez I. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
66', Lopez A. ↓, Manzanara F. ↑,
73', Castro D. 🟨,
78', Losada I. ↓, Pena H. ↑,
78', Serrano N. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
83', Tarrega C. 🟨,
84', 🟨,
86', Oscar Pinchi ↓, Nacho ↑,
86', Gimenez A. ↓, Sabin ↑,
86', Monchu ↓, Lucas Oliveira ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 7).

Ferrol is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Valladolid is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferrol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ferrol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Eldense - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Ferrol - Levante	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Burgos - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
09.03.24	Valladolid - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
03.03.24	FC Andorra - Valladolid	2:1 ✺
23.02.24	Valladolid - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
17.02.24	Sporting de Gijón - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
12.02.24	Valladolid - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.12.23	Valladolid - Ferrol	0:1

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