Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 34

Date: 5 April 2024, Friday

Location: Lezama Facilities (Lezama)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)


	Amorebieta		Ferrol

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.75	Watch
	2.87	2.8	2.5
	3	2.8	2.65	Watch
	3.18	2.85	2.8
	3.18	2.77	2.8
	3.02	2.86	2.68	Watch
	2.95	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.99)	2.81 ↓ (2.94)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
31.2%

Draw
33.6%

Ferrol
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

32.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

33.5%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Ferrol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferrol than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	75%	8.3%

Amorebieta - Ferrol Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Amorebieta will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). Ferrol will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 28. Garreta F. 3. Etxeita X. 8. Moran E. 15. Nunez A. 20. Sibo K. 10. Edwards R. 2. Mier J. 7. Dorrio J. 9. Jauregi E. 22. Morcillo J.	25. Cantero A. (G) 24. Cubero S. 4. Garcia H. J. 15. Castro D. 21. Moi 8. Lopez A. 6. Bernal J. 11. Nacho 22. Losada I. 23. Serrano N. 14. Vadillo A.
Substitutes
30. Campos P. (G) 21. Carbonell A. 14. Eraso J. 16. Lasure D. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 23. Unzueta I. 6. Yriarte J.	12. Alex Martin 26. Carballo D. 5. Clemente E. 2. Delmas J. 13. Emilio (G) 1. Gazzaniga G. (G) 9. Justo M. 16. Manzanara F. 18. Martinez B. 7. Pena H. 19. Sabin
Coaches
Jandro	Parralo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Garreta F. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Dorrio J. ⚽, Jauregi E. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', Nacho ↓, Sabin ↑,
55', Lopez A. ↓, Justo M. ↑,
64', Morcillo J. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
64', Moran E. ↓, Carbonell A. ↑,
65', Moi ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
74', Jauregi E. ↓, Unzueta I. ↑,
80', Castro D. 🟨,
82', 3 - 0, Unzueta I. (Pen),
85', 3 - 1, Garcia H. J. ⚽, Pena H. (A),
86', Dorrio J. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
86', Sibo K. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
90+3', Nunez A. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Amorebieta is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Ferrol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Amorebieta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.24	Alcorcón - Amorebieta	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Amorebieta - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
18.03.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
11.03.24	Amorebieta - Leganés	0:1 ✺
03.03.24	Zaragoza - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.9 TWWLW
- Racing Club Ferrol
Spanish LaLiga2
31.03.24	Ferrol - Elche	1:0 ✺
25.03.24	Albacete Balompié - Ferrol	1:1 ✺
17.03.24	Ferrol - Valladolid	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Cartagena - Ferrol	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Ferrol - Racing Santander	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.10.23	Ferrol - Amorebieta	1:0
Primera RFEF Play Offs
10.06.23	Ferrol - Amorebieta	2:0
03.06.23	Amorebieta - Ferrol	3:0

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