Match Info

Date: 20 October 2020, Tuesday


	América Mineiro		Brasil de Pelotas

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	7.5	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.25
	1.5	3.7	5.75	Watch
	1.52	3.5	6.8
	1.56	3.95	7
	1.53	3.6	6.5
	1.57	3.62	6.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.6)	3.68 ↓ (3.77)	6.52 ↑ (5.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
60.5%

Draw
25.3%

Brasil de Pelotas
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.4%

24.8%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

14.6%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-26.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América Mineiro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasil de Pelotas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

América Mineiro - Brasil de Pelotas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie A and 14).

América MG is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Brasil de Pelotas have a series of guest games.

In this match América MG is certain favorite.

In this match América MG is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches América MG won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
16.10.20	Botafogo SP - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
09.10.20	América Mineiro - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
06.10.20	Vitória Salvador - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
03.10.20	América Mineiro - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
28.09.20	CRB Maceio - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWTT
- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
18.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
15.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - São Caetano	3:1 ✺
10.10.20	São Luiz - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
10.10.20	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
06.10.20	Avaí - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
24.09.19	América Mineiro - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0
25.05.19	Brasil de Pelotas - América Mineiro	2:1
17.10.17	Brasil de Pelotas - América Mineiro	0:0
01.07.17	América Mineiro - Brasil de Pelotas	3:0

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