Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE A - ROUND 24

Date: 19 September 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Henrique M. (Bra)


	América Mineiro		Red Bull Bragantino

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.4	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.4	Watch
	3.06	3.38	2.47
	2.88	3.1	2.2
	2.91	3.44	2.36	Watch
	2.8	3.3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.68)	3.31 ↑ (3.23)	2.38 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
32.2%

Draw
28.4%

Red Bull Bragantino
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.6%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

28.4%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	9.5%	57.1%

América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 12 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 35.9% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Cavichioli (G) 45. Ricardo Silva 3. Iago Maidana 33. Eder Ferreira 36. Mateus Henrique 8. Juninho (C) 28. Cascardo Lemos B. 5. Emmanuel Martinez 75. Rodriguinho 11. Felipe Azevedo 17. Gonzalo Mastriani	1. Cleiton (C) 34. Hurtado J. 2. Realpe L. 45. Goncalves da Silva L. R. 29. Juninho Capixaba 5. Jadsom Silva 35. Matheus Fernandes 25. Matheus Goncalves 8. Lucas Evangelista 28. Vitinho 9. Alerrandro
Substitutes
93. Aguerre W. (G) 16. Ale 26. Burgos E. 80. Cazares 18. Cesar J. 20. Daniel Borges 37. Everaldo 21. Lucas Kal 10. Martin Benitez 30. Nicolas Vichiatto 78. Renato Marques 65. Rodrigo Varanda	18. Borbas T. 17. Bruninho 7. Eric Ramires 31. Guilherme Lopes 22. Gustavinho 33. Laquintana I. 36. Luan Candido 30. Luan Patrick 40. Lucao (G) 14. Quintero Y. 27. Sorriso 21. Talisson
Coaches
Bustos F.	Caixinha P.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in América MG: Adyson (Injury) Aloisio (Injury) Marcinho (Injury) Marlon (Injury) Renato Marques (Injury)

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos (Knee Injury) Lucas Cunha (Knee Injury) Raul (Knee Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches América MG won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 21-23.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie A
15.09.23	Cuiabá - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	América Mineiro - Santos	2:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
31.08.23	Fortaleza - América Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.08.23	América Mineiro - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
24.08.23	América Mineiro - Fortaleza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWL
- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A
14.09.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Grêmio	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.09.23	Osasco Sporting - Red Bull Bragantino	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.08.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Cuiabá	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.08.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Piracicaba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
10.08.23	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	3:4 penalties
03.08.23	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
Brazilian Serie A
10.05.23	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	2:2
05.11.22	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	1:4
17.07.22	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	0:3
27.11.21	Red Bull Bragantino - América Mineiro	1:1
23.08.21	América Mineiro - Red Bull Bragantino	0:2

Upcoming Matches