Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 7

Date: 24 May 2024, Friday

Location: Mineirão (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)


	América Mineiro		Santos

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.88	3.1	Watch
	2.45	2.9	2.87
	2.5	3	3
	2.63	2.97	3.2
	2.63	2.9	3.2
	2.6	2.9	2.9
	2.53	2.98	2.99	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.48)	2.93 ↓ (3.08)	3.01 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América Mineiro
36.8%

Draw
32%

Santos
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

30.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

30.2%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América Mineiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	69.2%	23.1%

América Mineiro - Santos Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. América MG will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Santos will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dalberson (G) 36. Mateus Henrique 45. Ricardo Silva 33. Eder 6. Marlon 16. Ale 8. Juninho (C) 15. Moises 44. Adyson 78. Renato Marques 28. Fabinho	1. Joao Paulo (G) 44. Joao Pedro Chermont 4. Gil 6. Joaquim 31. Escobar G. 8. Rincon T. 21. Diego Pituca (C) 20. Giuliano 22. Otero R. 27. Willian Bigode 42. Weslley Patati
Substitutes
9. Brenner 20. Daniel Borges 1. Elias (G) 19. Felipe Amaral 11. Felipe Azevedo 97. Gustavinho 18. Julio 10. Martin Benitez 30. Nicolas 4. Pedro Barcelos 75. Rodriguinho 29. Vitor Jacare	2. Alex Nascimento 36. Cazares 12. Diogenes (G) 77. Gabriel Brazao (G) 3. Hayner 32. Jair 30. Morelos A. 15. Nonato 88. Patrick 29. Rodrigo Ferreira 23. Sandry 37. Serginho
Coaches
Cauan Almeida	Fabio Carille

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', Adyson 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Renato Marques ⚽,
18', Joao Paulo ↓, Gabriel Brazao ↑,
30', 1 - 1, Willian Bigode ⚽, Escobar G. (A),
37', Marlon 🟨,
41', Willian Bigode 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Moises ↓, Martin Benitez ↑,
61', Fabinho ↓, Vitor Jacare ↑,
61', Mateus Henrique ↓, Daniel Borges ↑,
67', 2 - 1, Juninho ⚽, Martin Benitez (A),
73', Renato Marques ↓, Brenner ↑,
73', Fabio Carille 🟨,
74', Weslley Patati ↓, Patrick ↑,
74', Otero R. ↓, Serginho ↑,
74', Adyson ↓, Felipe Azevedo ↑,
76', Eder 🟨,
78', Martin Benitez 🟨,
84', Joao Pedro Chermont ↓, Hayner ↑,
84', Rincon T. ↓, Nonato ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches América MG won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

América MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Santos: Aderlan (Injury) Alison Lopes (Injury) Furch J. (Injury) Rodrigo Falcao (Injury) Sandry (Injury) Zabala L. (Injury)

Last 10 head-to-head matches América MG won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-8.

Including matches at home between the teams América MG won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América Mineiro
Brazilian Serie B
20.05.24	Guarani - América Mineiro	1:2 ✺
15.05.24	América Mineiro - Mirassol	0:0 ✺
08.05.24	América Mineiro - Vila Nova	3:1 ✺
04.05.24	Chapecoense - América Mineiro	2:2 ✺
27.04.24	América Mineiro - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTWTW
- Santos FC
Brazilian Serie B
19.05.24	Santos - Brusque	4:0 ✺
15.05.24	Ponte Preta - Santos	1:2 ✺
11.05.24	Amazonas - Santos	1:0 ✺
06.05.24	Santos - Guarani	4:1 ✺
26.04.24	Avaí - Santos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
03.09.23	América Mineiro - Santos	2:0
29.04.23	Santos - América Mineiro	3:2
14.08.22	América Mineiro - Santos	1:0
24.04.22	Santos - América Mineiro	3:0
23.10.21	Santos - América Mineiro	0:2
03.07.21	América Mineiro - Santos	2:0
18.11.18	América Mineiro - Santos	2:1

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