The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cruzeiro 48.5%
Draw 27.9%
Red Bull Bragantino 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
25.8%
19.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.8%
25.9%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruzeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro's form might have worsened.
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Cruzeiro - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions
Users Predictions:
Cruzeiro will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Matheus Cunha (G) 23. Fagner 15. Fabricio Bruno 34. Jonathan Jesus 6. Kaiki 16. Lucas Silva (C) 11. Gerson 99. Arroyo K. 10. Matheus Pereira 88. Christian 22. Villarreal N.
18. Tiago Volpi (G) 34. Hurtado A. 4. Alix Vinicius 16. Gustavo Marques 29. Juninho Capixaba 6. Gabriel 35. Matheus Fernandes 15. Sosa I. 21. Lucas Barbosa (C) 17. Vinicinho 9. Pitta I.
Substitutes
9. Bruno Rodrigues 91. Chico 77. Japa 43. Joao Marcelo 2. Kaua Moraes 36. Kaua Prates 70. Kenji 8. Matheus Henrique 81. Otavio Costa (G) 25. Villalba L. 94. Wanderson 12. William Furtado
51. Caue Nascimento 1. Cleiton (G) 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 22. Gustavo Neves 56. Gustavo Reis (G) 67. Jhuan 57. Marcelinho 14. Pedro Henrique 20. Rodriguinho 52. Tavares R. 28. Yuri Leles
Coaches
Artur Jorge
Vagner Mancini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Hurtado A. ⚽, Pitta I. (A),
18', 1 - 1, Villarreal N. ⚽, Fagner (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Christian ⚽, Arroyo K. (A),
59', Sosa I. 🟨,
63', Sosa I. ↓, Tavares R. ↑,
69', Lucas Silva ↓, Matheus Henrique ↑,
69', Arroyo K. ↓, Wanderson ↑,
74', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
77', Fagner ↓, Kaua Moraes ↑,
82', Gustavo Marques 🟨,
84', Villarreal N. ↓, Bruno Rodrigues ↑,
84', Jonathan Jesus ↓, Villalba L. ↑,
84', Gabriel ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
84', Hurtado A. ↓, Jhuan ↑,
84', Vinicinho ↓, Rodriguinho ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Cruzeiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Cruzeiro is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Cruzeiro: Cassio
(Knee Injury)
Marquinhos
(Knee Injury)
Sinisterra L.
(Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Inactive)
Eduardo Sasha
(Inactive)
Fabricio
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Herrera J.
(Yellow Cards)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Vanderlan
(Health problems)
There are questionable in Cruzeiro: Jonathan Jesus
(Injury)
There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Herrera J.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Cruzeiro won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.5:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Cruzeiro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).