Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa do Brasil - 1/16-finals

Date: 1 May 2024, Wednesday

Location: Arena das Dunas (Natal)

Referee: Lima Barbosa M. (Bra)


	América RN		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	7	3.2	1.67
	5.5	3.2	1.62
	5.5	3.4	1.68
	6.24	3.25	1.74
	6.27	3.09	1.66
	5.5	3.3	1.62
	5.33	3.42	1.71
	6.4	3.15	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.97 ↑ (5.97)	3.25 ↓ (3.53)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América RN
15.6%

Draw
28.6%

Corinthians
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

26.2%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

21.8%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América RN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for América RN than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corinthians, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

América RN - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. América RN will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Renan Braganca (G) 2. Marcos Ytalo 34. Rafael Jansen 3. Alan 36. Guilherme Guedes 21. Norberto 33. Ferreira 8. Souza (C) 27. Wenderson 29. Gustavo Henrique 37. Rafinha	22. Carlos Miguel (G) 2. Matheus Franca 3. Torres F. 25. Caca 21. Matheus Bidu 8. Paulinho (C) 14. Raniele 27. Breno Bidon 19. Gustavo Mosquito 11. Angel Romero 36. Wesley
Substitutes
32. Antonio Villa 22. Ferrugem A. 4. Gilvan 44. Giovani Albuquerque 11. Gustavo Ramos 19. Henrique Cesar 14. Hygor 6. Joao Lucas 45. Lucao (G) 7. Matheuzinho 16. Rodriguinho 5. Salazar L.	29. Arthur Sousa 4. Caetano 12. Cassio (G) 23. Fagner 5. Fausto Vera 17. Giovane 26. Guilherme Biro 46. Hugo 47. Joao Pedro 20. Pedro Raul 34. Raul Gustavo 37. Ryan
Coaches
Marquinhos S.	Toni Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Norberto ⚽, Marcos Ytalo (A),
30', 1 - 1, Breno Bidon ⚽, Wesley (A),
42', Matheus Franca 🟨,
43', Alan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Raniele 🟨,
56', Rafinha 🟨,
58', Wenderson ↓, Gustavo Ramos ↑,
59', Angel Romero ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
59', Gustavo Mosquito ↓, Fagner ↑,
63', 1 - 2, Caca ⚽, Matheus Bidu (A),
72', Gustavo Ramos 🟨,
73', Guilherme Guedes ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
73', Rafinha ↓, Matheuzinho ↑,
73', Marquinhos 🟨,
77', Caca 🟨,
78', Raniele ↓, Fausto Vera ↑,
78', Wesley ↓, Giovane ↑,
88', Norberto ↓, Antonio Villa ↑,
88', Gustavo Henrique ↓, Giovani Albuquerque ↑,
89', Paulinho ↓, Guilherme Biro ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

América RN is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Corinthians is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

América RN could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently América RN have a series of guest games.

In this match Corinthians is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América RN
Brazilian Serie D
28.04.24	Maracanã - América RN	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Potiguar
10.04.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Potiguar - América RN	1:3 ✺
03.04.24	América RN - Potiguar	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Força e Luz - América RN	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWWTW
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
28.04.24	Corinthians - Fluminense	3:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
23.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
17.04.24	Juventude - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLT

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