Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 19

Date: 11 August 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)

Referee: Casagrande L. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
China	K-Ball
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Mexico	Fanatiz
Turkey	Spor Smart 1
Usa	Fanatiz


	Juventude		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.1
	4.05	3.1	1.98
	4.52	3.21	2
	4.00	3.07	2.05	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2.05
	4.03	3.3	2.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.9)	3.17 ↑ (3.11)	2.03 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
23.5%

Draw
29.9%

Corinthians
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30.2%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Juventude's form might have worsened.

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corinthians's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	10.3%	82.1%

Juventude - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Juventude will win (votes: 3 - 7.7%). Corinthians will win (votes: 32 - 82.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Corinthians: 70.1% – 94.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Corinthians (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Corinthians (3.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Corinthians (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Corinthians will win (29 of 31 users predict this - 93.55%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventude (votes: 2 - 5.9%). Corinthians (votes: 32 - 94.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ruan Carneiro (G) 93. Reginaldo 23. Abner 5. Cipriano 22. Marcelo Hermes 95. Caique Goncalves 44. Mandaca 16. Jadson (C) 19. Gabriel Taliari 9. Gilberto 7. Gabriel Veron	1. Hugo Souza (G) 2. Matheuzinho 5. Andre Ramalho 13. Gustavo Henrique 21. Matheus Bidu 27. Breno Bidon 14. Raniele 70. Martinez J. 8. Garro R. (C) 43. Talles Magno 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
28. Alan Ruschel 27. Batalla E. 97. Enio 8. Giraldo D. 25. Guruceaga G. (G) 55. Hudson 98. Marlon 17. Matheus Babi 36. Nata 10. Nene 72. Peixoto	11. Angel Romero 26. Angileri F. 54. Bahia 25. Caca 35. Charles Rigon 61. Dieguinho 40. Felipe Longo (G) 56. Gui Negao 47. Joao Pedro 31. Kayke 37. Ryan 3. Torres F.
Coaches
Thiago Carpini	Dorival Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Gabriel Taliari ⚽, Marcelo Hermes (A),
34', Martinez J. 🟨,
34', Gabriel Taliari 🟨,
35', Cipriano 🟨,
38', Gilberto 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gilberto ↓, Enio ↑,
54', Matheus Bidu 🟨,
63', Matheus Bidu ↓, Angileri F. ↑,
63', Martinez J. ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
65', Caique Goncalves ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
70', Caca 🟨,
76', Jadson 🟨,
76', Raniele ↓, Charles Rigon ↑,
76', Talles Magno ↓, Angel Romero ↑,
79', Gabriel Taliari ↓, Matheus Babi ↑,
79', Gabriel Veron ↓, Nene ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Matheus Babi ⚽, Nene (A),
84', Angileri F. 🟨,
84', Giraldo D. 🟨,
86', Angel Romero 🟥,
86', Breno Bidon 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Matheuzinho ⚽,
90+1', Andre Ramalho ↓, Gui Negao ↑,
90+2', Matheus Babi 🟨,
90+4', Mandaca ↓, Alan Ruschel ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 2.

Juventude is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Corinthians is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Corinthians may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Corinthians is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Juventude: Angel W. (Yellow Cards) Ewerthon (Knock) Gustavo (Personal Reasons) Lucas Fernandes (Knock) Rafael Bilu (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Sam (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Corinthians: Hugo (Hernia) Maycon (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Corinthians: Carrillo A. (Injury) Depay M. (Muscle Injury) Yuri Alberto (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventude won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Corinthians - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 37.42%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie A
04.08.25	Santos - Juventude	3:1 ✺
27.07.25	Bahia - Juventude	3:0 ✺
24.07.25	Juventude - São Paulo	0:1 ✺
20.07.25	Cruzeiro - Juventude	4:0 ✺
14.07.25	Juventude - Sport Recife	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW
- Corinthians
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Palmeiras - Corinthians	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
03.08.25	Corinthians - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Corinthians - Palmeiras	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.07.25	Botafogo RJ - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
23.07.25	Corinthians - Cruzeiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.3 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
11.09.24	Corinthians - Juventude	3:1
29.08.24	Juventude - Corinthians	2:1
Brazilian Serie A
04.08.24	Corinthians - Juventude	1:1
17.04.24	Juventude - Corinthians	2:0
04.10.22	Juventude - Corinthians	2:2
11.06.22	Corinthians - Juventude	2:0
09.12.21	Juventude - Corinthians	1:0

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