Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Diego Armando Maradona (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Maza P. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV2


	Argentinos Juniors		Corinthians

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.45	3	2.95
	2.5	3	2.95	Watch
	2.58	3.02	3.02
	2.58	3.02	3.02
	2.4	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.5	3.15	2.84	Watch
	2.47	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.27)	3.06 ↓ (3.11)	2.93 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors
37.5%

Draw
30.6%

Corinthians
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.6%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

30.5%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Corinthians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentinos Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corinthians than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	50%	16.7%

Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Argentinos Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Corinthians will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Rodriguez D. (G) 18. Meza F. 4. Godoy E. 13. Palacio T. 7. Montiel S. 29. Viveros E. 5. Cardozo J. 36. Gamarra A. 11. Batallini D. 10. Veron G. 15. Heredia L.	12. Cassio (C) 23. Fagner 3. Torres F. 34. Raul Gustavo 46. Hugo 14. Raniele 5. Fausto Vera 11. Angel Romero 10. Garro R. 16. Pedro Henrique 9. Yuri Alberto
Substitutes
24. Chaves M. 19. Galvan J. 25. Gomez L. 17. Moyano F. 31. O'Neill Lopez J. S. 28. Perello M. 20. Prieto S. 8. Rodriguez A. 9. Romero M. 23. Santamaria T. 12. Siri Payer G. (G) 42. Sosa M.	27. Breno Bidon 25. Caca 22. Carlos Miguel (G) 17. Giovane 26. Guilherme Biro 19. Gustavo Silva 21. Matheus Bidu 32. Matheus Donelli (G) 2. Matheus Franca 18. Paulinho 20. Pedro Raul 36. Wesley
Coaches
Guede P.	Toni Oliveira

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Veron G. ⚽, Viveros E. (A),
26', Fagner 🟨,
29', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
38', Veron G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Heredia L. ↓, Perello M. ↑,
46', Fagner ↓, Matheus Franca ↑,
46', Yuri Alberto ↓, Wesley ↑,
46', Torres F. ↓, Paulinho ↑,
52', Batallini D. 🟨,
53', Godoy E. 🟨,
57', Viveros E. 🟨,
59', Raul Gustavo 🟥,
61', Angel Romero ↓, Caca ↑,
62', Viveros E. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
76', Pedro Henrique ↓, Pedro Raul ↑,
80', Montiel S. ↓, Prieto S. ↑,
87', Gamarra A. ↓, Galvan J. ↑,
87', Cardozo J. ↓, Moyano F. ↑,
88', Pedro Raul 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Corinthians could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Argentinos Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Argentinos Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
20.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	2:1 penalties ✺
15.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Barracas Central	3:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.24	Argentinos Juniors - Racing Montevideo	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
05.04.24	Vélez Sársfield - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
02.04.24	Nacional Asuncion - Argentinos Juniors	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTLTW
- Corinthians
Brazilian Serie A
20.04.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	1:0 ✺
17.04.24	Juventude - Corinthians	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	Corinthians - Atlético Mineiro	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
09.04.24	Corinthians - Nacional Asuncion	4:0 ✺
02.04.24	Racing Montevideo - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
24.05.23	Argentinos Juniors - Corinthians	0:0
19.04.23	Corinthians - Argentinos Juniors	0:1

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