Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Maracanã (Rio de Janeiro)

Referee: Herrera A. (Ven)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fluminense		América de Cali

	1	X	2
	1.79	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.66	3.4	5.5
	1.82	3.25	4.45	Watch
	1.87	3.31	4.95
	1.67	3.3	5.5	Watch
	1.79	3.39	4.99	Watch
	1.69	3.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.61)	3.32 ↑ (3.15)	5.11 ↓ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense
53.4%

Draw
28.2%

América de Cali
18.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

29.2%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

28%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fluminense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for América de Cali, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Fluminense - América de Cali Predictions

Users Predictions: Fluminense will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fluminense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 26. Manoel 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 45. Lima 8. Martinelli 17. Canobbio A. (C) 35. Hercules 90. Serna K. 9. Everaldo	12. Soto J. (G) 2. Bocanegra D. 6. Tovar C. 24. Pestana J. 92. Candelo Y. 5. Escobar J. 10. Carrascal R. (C) 14. Mina D. 7. Barrios C. 11. Murillo J. 22. Holgado R.
Substitutes
21. Acosta L. 5. Bernal F. 40. Davi Schuindt 12. Fuentes G. 23. Guga 99. John Kennedy 11. Keno 18. Lezcano R. 10. PH Ganso 28. Riquelme Felipe 29. Thiago Santos 98. Vitor Eudes (G)	31. Bertel O. 13. Castillo M. 36. Garces Y. 77. Gonzalez K. 1. Graterol J. (G) 17. Lucumi J. 4. Mosquera A. 21. Navarro S. 19. Paz L. 9. Ramos L. 33. Romero J. 27. Silva S. (G)
Coaches
Renato Gaucho	Raimondi D. G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Serna K. ⚽, Hercules (A),
41', Pestana J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pestana J. ↓, Lucumi J. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Martinelli ⚽, Canobbio A. (A),
61', Escobar J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
61', Murillo J. ↓, Ramos L. ↑,
68', Samuel Xavier ↓, Guga ↑,
68', Lima ↓, PH Ganso ↑,
78', Serna K. ↓, Keno ↑,
78', Hercules ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
78', Holgado R. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
81', Candelo Y. 🟨,
81', Martinelli ↓, John Kennedy ↑,
84', Candelo Y. ↓, Castillo M. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.

Fluminense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

América de Cali has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

América de Cali may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fluminense is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Fluminense will win today's game, with odds of 1.66.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Fluminense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
16.08.25	Fluminense - Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.25	América de Cali - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.25	Bahia - Fluminense	3:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Fluminense - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.08.25	Fluminense - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTTW
- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
14.08.25	Deportivo Pereira - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
12.08.25	América de Cali - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Colombian Primera A
09.08.25	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
06.08.25	Tigres - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.08.25	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
12.08.25	América de Cali - Fluminense	1:2

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