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Current Win Probability
Alianza Valledupar 33%
Draw 31.6%
América de Cali 35.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.8%
29.7%
35.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
29.2%
36.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
América de Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
50%
50%
Alianza Valledupar - América de Cali Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - Alianza (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alianza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Wallens J. (G) 16. Rosales Y. 23. Viveros J. 5. Franco P. (C) 26. Lasso J. 21. Cantillo F. 15. Esparragoza C. 17. Pardo F. 10. Fernandez W. 8. Munoz J. 29. Lucumi C.
1. Jean (G) 13. Castillo M. 4. Mosquera A. 22. Hernandez N. 30. Bertel O. 17. Lucumi J. 15. Carrascal R. (C) 5. Escobar J. 19. Palacios J. 10. Guzman Y. 9. Valencia D.
Substitutes
7. Castillo J. 22. Figueroa J. 27. Londono Y. 6. Meza Mercado E. W. 28. Osorio J. 4. Perez E. 13. Simancas A. (G) 20. Valencia L. 14. Villegas C.
35. Angulo K. 6. Cavadia J. 11. Machis D. 28. Mina L. M. 7. Murillo J. 20. Ramos A. 25. Romero J. 3. Rosero D. 12. Soto J. (G)
Coaches
Ayala C.
Gonzalez D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', Esparragoza C. 🟨,
17', Fernandez W. 🟨,
19', 0 - 1, Guzman Y. (Penalty Awarded),
35', Valencia D. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Valencia D. ⚽, Guzman Y. (A),
41', Palacios J. 🟨,
41', Fernandez W. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cantillo F. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
46', Esparragoza C. ↓, Meza Mercado E. W. ↑,
46', Valencia D. ↓, Machis D. ↑,
46', Palacios J. ↓, Angulo K. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Carrascal R. ⚽, Machis D. (A),
59', Pardo F. ↓, Londono Y. ↑,
59', Munoz J. ↓, Villegas C. ↑,
61', Rosales Y. 🟨,
63', Castillo M. ↓, Mina L. M. ↑,
68', Lucumi J. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
68', Lucumi C. ↓, Valencia L. ↑,
74', Meza Mercado E. W. 🟨,
75', Bertel O. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
83', Carrascal R. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.
Recent form of Alianza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
América de Cali's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 17:34. (average 0.9:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1:1.5).
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Wallens J. (G) 
Fernandez W. 
Jean (G) 
Valencia D. 
Machis D. 
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