Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 7

Date: 13 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Deportivo Cali (Palmira)

Referee: Ortiz J. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz


	Deportivo Cali		Unión Magdalena

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.9	4.1	Watch
	1.83	3.1	4.4
	1.82	3.15	4.7	Watch
	2.09	3.05	4.3
	1.35	4.42	9.56	Watch
	1.85	3	4.6
	1.85	3.13	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.77)	3.25 ↑ (3.22)	5.24 ↑ (5.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Cali
52.2%

Draw
29.5%

Unión Magdalena
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

29.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

28.3%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Cali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Unión Magdalena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unión Magdalena than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Deportivo Cali - Unión Magdalena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Deportivo Cali will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Unión Magdalena will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo Cali: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Cali will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Rodriguez A. (G) 21. Quinones J. (C) 5. Varela J. 27. Viafara F. 13. Quintero Y. 19. Martinez J. 11. Estupinan A. 28. Luis Orejuela 25. Colorado A. 7. Castillo F. 9. Mimbacas F.	1. Mattalia J. (G) 3. Ramos N. 15. Urrego Hector 27. Lerma J. 30. Mosquera D. 8. Colpa Bolano R. R. 16. Congo J. 24. Cantillo F. (C) 10. Sarmiento J. 29. Contreras J. 21. Marquez R.
Substitutes
2. Aguilar F. 8. Aponza J. 17. Arango J. 30. Gordillo Y. 44. Graciano C. 10. Javier Reina 77. Montoya J. 31. Moreno J. 32. Rojo A. (G)	20. Giraldo J. 23. Lastre E. 11. Martinez M. 28. Mercado J. 18. Molina F. 12. Tasso M. (G) 26. Tello J.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Silva C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Estupinan A. (Pen),
24', Colorado A. ↓, Gordillo Y. ↑,
39', Marquez R. 🟨,
41', Contreras J. 🟨,
45+1', Quintero Y. 🟨,
45+2', Cantillo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Mimbacas F. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽, Quintero Y. (A),
64', 3 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
70', Contreras J. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
71', Colpa Bolano R. R. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
71', Congo J. ↓, Giraldo J. ↑,
71', Cantillo F. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
74', Castillo F. 🟨,
76', Castillo F. ↓, Arango J. ↑,
77', Gordillo Y. 🟨,
81', 3 - 1, Marquez R. (Pen),
88', Martinez J. ↓, Javier Reina ↑,
88', Estupinan A. ↓, Aguilar F. ↑,
90+1', Moreno J. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Deportivo Cali is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Cali won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Cali won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
08.08.25	Millonarios - Deportivo Cali	3:3 ✺
02.08.25	Deportivo Cali - Llaneros SA	0:3 ✺
28.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Deportivo Cali	2:3 ✺
24.07.25	Deportivo Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Envigado - Deportivo Cali	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 TLWTT
- Unión Magdalena
Colombian Primera A
07.08.25	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Pasto	1:1 ✺
01.08.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Unión Magdalena	0:1 ✺
27.07.25	Unión Magdalena - Independiente Medellín	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Junior Barranquilla - Unión Magdalena	4:1 ✺
18.07.25	Unión Magdalena - Llaneros SA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
03.03.25	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali	2:2
26.09.23	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali	3:4
15.04.23	Deportivo Cali - Unión Magdalena	2:1
29.08.22	Deportivo Cali - Unión Magdalena	2:2
27.02.22	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali	0:2
10.08.19	Unión Magdalena - Deportivo Cali	2:0
19.02.19	Deportivo Cali - Unión Magdalena	2:1

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