Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero (Cali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, DSports 1, ESPN
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Belarus	Okko Sport
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 2, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Claro TV+, Paramount+, SBT, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
Malaysia	Mola
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	Sport TV2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga+
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	América de Cali		Fluminense

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.75	4.33	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	2.12	2.68	4.25	Watch
	2.22	2.73	4.49
	2.7	2.9	2.7	Watch
	2.24	2.74	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.83)	2.82 ↓ (3.11)	3.76 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Cali
40.6%

Draw
34%

Fluminense
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

30.3%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

31.1%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Cali's performance.

Fluminense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América de Cali that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

América de Cali - Fluminense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. América de Cali will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Fluminense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for América de Cali: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Fluminense (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 2nd Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Fluminense (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): América de Cali will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. América de Cali (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Fluminense (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Soto J. (G) 6. Tovar C. 24. Pestana J. 92. Candelo Y. 14. Mina D. 5. Escobar J. 10. Carrascal R. (C) 7. Barrios C. 21. Navarro S. 17. Lucumi J. 9. Ramos L.	1. Fabio (G) 2. Samuel Xavier 26. Manoel 22. Freytes J. 6. Rene 35. Hercules 8. Martinelli 90. Serna K. 45. Lima 17. Canobbio A. (C) 9. Everaldo
Substitutes
31. Bertel O. 2. Bocanegra D. 13. Castillo M. 29. Cavadia J. 36. Garces Y. 77. Gonzalez K. 1. Graterol J. (G) 22. Holgado R. 4. Mosquera A. 19. Paz L. 33. Romero J. 27. Silva S. (G)	21. Acosta L. 5. Bernal F. 14. Cano G. 40. Davi Schuindt 23. Guga 99. John Kennedy 46. Julio Fidelis 11. Keno 27. Marcelo Pitaluga (G) 77. Paulo Baya 10. PH Ganso 29. Thiago Santos
Coaches
Raimondi D. G.	Renato Gaucho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Candelo Y. (Own goal),
15', 0 - 2, Canobbio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Ramos L. ↓, Holgado R. ↑,
63', Navarro S. ↓, Castillo M. ↑,
68', Martinelli ↓, Bernal F. ↑,
68', Lima ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
79', Everaldo ↓, Cano G. ↑,
79', Canobbio A. ↓, Guga ↑,
79', Hercules ↓, Thiago Santos ↑,
81', Lucumi J. ↓, Bocanegra D. ↑,
81', Candelo Y. ↓, Garces Y. ↑,
84', Barrios C. 🟨,
90+1', Thiago Santos 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 2, Barrios C. ⚽, Castillo M. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

América de Cali could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Cali
Colombian Primera A
09.08.25	América de Cali - Deportes Tolima	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
06.08.25	Tigres - América de Cali	0:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
02.08.25	Independiente Santa Fe - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
29.07.25	América de Cali - Tigres	5:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
26.07.25	América de Cali - Rionegro Águilas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWW
- Fluminense RJ
Brazilian Serie A
09.08.25	Bahia - Fluminense	3:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.08.25	Fluminense - Internacional RS	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.08.25	Fluminense - Grêmio	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
30.07.25	Internacional RS - Fluminense	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
27.07.25	São Paulo - Fluminense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 TTWWL

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