Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 34

Date: 11 October 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)


	América de Quito		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.5	Watch
	1.89	3.46	3.81
	1.8	3.4	3.8
	1.79	3.66	3.7	Watch
	1.84	3.65	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.11)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	3.67 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

América de Quito
49.8%

Draw
25.5%

9 de Octubre
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

26.9%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

25.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

América de Quito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in América de Quito's performance.

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 9 de Octubre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Quito than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with América de Quito that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

América de Quito - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: América de Quito will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches América de Quito is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

9 de Octubre has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match América de Quito is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches América de Quito won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams América de Quito won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- América de Quito
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.10.23	Independiente Juniors - América de Quito	2:2 ✺
27.09.23	Búhos ULVR - América de Quito	1:1 ✺
19.09.23	América de Quito - Manta	5:1 ✺
13.09.23	Imbabura - América de Quito	5:2 ✺
10.09.23	América de Quito - Vinotinto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTWLW
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.10.23	9 de Octubre - Imbabura	1:1 ✺
27.09.23	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	2:1 ✺
20.09.23	9 de Octubre - Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
14.09.23	Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
23.08.23	9 de Octubre - América de Quito	1:0
31.05.23	América de Quito - 9 de Octubre	1:0
04.04.23	9 de Octubre - América de Quito	3:1
03.09.20	América de Quito - 9 de Octubre	0:0

América de Quito - 9 de Octubre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide