Match Info

ECUADOR: SERIE B - ROUND 32

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Bellavista (Ambato)


	Deportivo Macará		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.53	3.84	6.36
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.44	3.98	6.4	Watch
	1.48	3.85	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.41)	3.84 ↓ (4.5)	6.1 ↑ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Macará
61.5%

Draw
23.6%

9 de Octubre
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

19.2%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Macará has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

9 de Octubre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Macará than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Macará, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Macará will win (votes: 3 - 75%). 9 de Octubre will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Macará won 3.

Macará is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches 9 de Octubre is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Macará could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Macará is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Macará to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Macará won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Macará won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Macará
Ecuadorian Serie B
21.09.23	Vargas Torres - Deportivo Macará	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Deportivo Macará - Independiente Juniors	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Búhos ULVR - Deportivo Macará	0:1 ✺
05.09.23	Deportivo Macará - América de Quito	3:1 ✺
30.08.23	Manta - Deportivo Macará	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTWWT
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
20.09.23	9 de Octubre - Vinotinto	1:2 ✺
14.09.23	Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
09.09.23	Independiente Juniors - 9 de Octubre	3:1 ✺
06.09.23	9 de Octubre - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
30.08.23	Búhos ULVR - 9 de Octubre	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
11.08.23	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:1
22.06.23	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	2:0
26.04.23	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:3
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.10.22	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	3:1
14.05.22	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:1
18.09.21	9 de Octubre - Deportivo Macará	1:1
10.04.21	Deportivo Macará - 9 de Octubre	3:2

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