Match Info

Serie B - Round 7

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Estadio Folke Anderson (Esmeraldas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping
Peru	Zapping Sports


	Vargas Torres		9 de Octubre

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.41	2.95	2.9	Watch
	2.5	3	3.02
	2.54	2.9	3.06	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.7
	2.46	2.82	2.96	Watch
	2.41	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.46)	2.92 ↑ (2.84)	2.92 ↓ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vargas Torres
37%

Draw
31.5%

9 de Octubre
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

32.7%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

32.6%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vargas Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

9 de Octubre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vargas Torres than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 9 de Octubre than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	80%	0%

Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Vargas Torres will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Vargas Torres (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Vargas Torres (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Grueso M. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Vargas Torres won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

9 de Octubre could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Vargas Torres won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams, Vargas Torres won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 matches, and goals 5:2 (average 1.3:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Vargas Torres
Ecuadorian Serie B
22.04.25	Imbabura - Vargas Torres	0:0 ✺
16.04.25	Vargas Torres - Leones del Norte	1:1 ✺
09.04.25	22 de Julio - Vargas Torres	1:1 ✺
03.04.25	Vargas Torres - Chacaritas	0:0 ✺
26.03.25	Atlético Vinotinto - Vargas Torres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTTTL
- 9 de Octubre FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
24.04.25	9 de Octubre - Cumbayá	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Gualaceo - 9 de Octubre	1:0 ✺
10.04.25	Guayaquil City - 9 de Octubre	0:1 ✺
03.04.25	9 de Octubre - Imbabura	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Leones del Norte - 9 de Octubre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
26.09.24	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	0:0
07.08.24	Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre	0:1
26.06.24	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	2:0
08.05.24	Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre	2:1
14.09.23	Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre	1:0
26.07.23	9 de Octubre - Vargas Torres	3:0
28.06.23	Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre	2:0

Vargas Torres - 9 de Octubre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide