Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 2

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Jonas Duarte (Anápolis)


	Anápolis		Ituano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.55
	2.6	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.81	2.7	3.07
	2.76	2.71	3	Watch
	2.52	2.92	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (1.99)	2.86 ↓ (2.95)	2.82 ↓ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anápolis
35.2%

Draw
32.2%

Ituano
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

30.9%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anápolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anápolis's form might have worsened.

Ituano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ituano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anápolis than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anápolis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ituano than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ituano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Anápolis - Ituano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paulo Henrique (G) 14. Andre 99. Douglas 90. Ezequiel 5. Joao Afonso (C) 30. Lucao 11. Natan Bahia 32. Rafael Mineiro 6. Rafael Verrone 22. Rubinho 28. Samuel	1. Saulo (G) 15. Bruno Silva 6. Guilherme Dal Pian 3. Luiz Gustavo 4. Matheus Mancini (C) 7. Neto Berola 10. Osman 11. Ramon 2. Thassio 8. Thiago Moraes 9. Vinicius Popo
Substitutes
38. Cazzetta 10. Denner 17. Gabriel Batista 29. Igor Cassio 41. Joao Borim 77. Johnatan Cardoso 21. Kadu 20. Neto Acara 15. Pedro Thomaz 57. Rafinha 31. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 33. Renan Cocao	5. Daniel 13. Dija 16. Gabriel Abdias 21. Gabriel Razera 18. Grigor 17. Gustavo 20. Kaio Mendes 19. Leo Passos 14. Nathan Silva 22. Walterson Silva 12. Wesley Borges (G)
Coaches
Angelo Luiz	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Osman 🟨,
31', Samuel 🟨,
38', Rubinho 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Vinicius Popo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Natan Bahia ↓, Igor Cassio ↑,
46', Ezequiel ↓, Rafinha ↑,
46', Rubinho ↓, Kadu ↑,
56', Neto Berola ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
73', Vinicius Popo ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
73', Thiago Moraes ↓, Kaio Mendes ↑,
74', Joao Afonso ↓, Denner ↑,
76', Osman 🟨,
83', Douglas 🟨,
83', Ramon ↓, Grigor ↑,
87', Douglas ↓, Neto Acara ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Anápolis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ituano is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anápolis FC
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.25	CS Alagoano - Anápolis	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Goiano
30.03.25	Vila Nova - Anápolis	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Anápolis - Vila Nova	2:0 ✺
15.03.25	Anápolis - Atlético Goianiense	3:2 ✺
08.03.25	Atlético Goianiense - Anápolis	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.3 TLWWT
- Ituano
Brazilian Serie C
12.04.25	Ituano - Brusque	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
29.03.25	Capivariano - Ituano	3:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ituano - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
19.03.25	Ituano - Ferroviária	4:1 penalties ✺
15.03.25	Ferroviária - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLLWL

Anápolis - Ituano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide