Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 9

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Engenheiro Sílvio Henriques Cerveira (Anadia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Anadia		Fafe

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.1
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.25	3.3	2.27
	3.16	3.29	2.25	Watch
	3.08	3.28	2.13
	3	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.85)	3.25 ↑ (3.17)	2.19 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anadia
29.9%

Draw
28.3%

Fafe
41.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

29.5%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

29.9%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anadia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Fafe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anadia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fafe than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Anadia - Fafe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
64. Martins T. (C) 10. Carvalho D. 3. Casagrande P. 8. Erivaldo 99. Farias Y. 26. Gaio P. 15. Lucas J. 5. Nuca 19. Silva R. 23. Sinisterra J. 11. Teles D.	98. Alves C. (G) 26. Batista J. 8. Braga V. 35. Cardoso F. (C) 17. Goncalves R. 7. Leite T. 21. Pereira M. 11. Picas 10. Serra Matos P. M. 4. Teixeira L. 13. Vigario J.
Substitutes
14. Andre Mendy 17. Conceicao M. 72. Cruz L. 9. Hassan M. 6. Izata D. 12. Liberal D. 25. Mathiola 13. Santos M. (G) 80. Zimbabwe	20. Amorim J. 3. da Silva G. W. 1. Enes Guimaraes F. (G) 88. Erico 12. Farias E. 9. Kodama R. 44. Morais B. 5. Nandinho 18. Ribeiro P. 2. Sousa B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Maranhao Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 1, Serra Matos P. M. (Pen),
54', Braga V. 🟨,
57', Silva R. 🟨,
60', Carvalho D. ↓, Conceicao M. ↑,
60', Martins T. ↓, Liberal D. ↑,
67', Teles D. ↓, Zimbabwe ↑,
69', Picas ↓, Farias E. ↑,
69', Pereira M. ↓, Sousa B. ↑,
81', Braga V. ↓, Amorim J. ↑,
81', Serra Matos P. M. ↓, Kodama R. ↑,
82', Nuca 🟨,
84', Maranhao Y. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
84', Nuca ↓, Izata D. ↑,
86', Vigario J. ↓, Nandinho ↑,
88', Hassan M. 🟨,
90+2', Cardoso F. 🟨,
90+3', Casagrande P. 🟨,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Anadia won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Anadia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fafe have a series of home games.

Fafe will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Anadia won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 19:15 (average 1.6:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Anadia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:8 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anadia FC
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Anadia - Estrela da Amadora	1:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.24	São João de Ver - Anadia	3:1 ✺
28.09.24	Anadia - Trofense	4:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.24	Anadia - Rabo de Peixe	3:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
14.09.24	Sanjoanense - Anadia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWW
- AD Fafe
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Fafe - Amarante	4:1 ✺
28.09.24	Fafe - São João de Ver	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Braga B - Fafe	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
08.09.24	Fafe - Amarante	1:4 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
31.08.24	Fafe - Trofense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
06.04.24	Fafe - Anadia	1:0
03.03.24	Anadia - Fafe	0:4
12.11.23	Fafe - Anadia	1:3
12.08.23	Anadia - Fafe	0:1
18.02.23	Anadia - Fafe	1:2
05.11.22	Fafe - Anadia	2:1
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Fafe - Anadia	1:2

Anadia - Fafe: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide