Match Info

Serie D - Group F - Round 18

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Ostia Mare		Ancona

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	2.95
	2.15	3.15	3
	2.19	3.29	3.00	Watch
	2.23	3.25	3.12
	2.25	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.24)	3.2 ↓ (3.33)	2.99 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostia Mare
41.3%

Draw
28.4%

Ancona
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.4%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

27.9%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostia Mare has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Ancona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostia Mare than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ancona than the current prediction. (+1%)

Ostia Mare - Ancona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', 0 - 1, Babbi L. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, Ostia Mare has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ancona is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ostia Mare could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostia Mare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Ancona	6	3	2	1	8:5	3	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ostia Mare Lido Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.12.25	Ostia Mare - Giulianova	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Termoli - Ostia Mare	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	L Aquila - Ostia Mare	3:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ostia Mare - Notaresco	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Chieti - Ostia Mare	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTW
- US Ancona 1905
Italian Serie D - Group F
21.12.25	Notaresco - Ancona	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ancona - L Aquila	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Sammaurese - Ancona	0:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
03.12.25	UniPomezia - Ancona	1:2 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group F
30.11.25	Ancona - Fossombrone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group F
07.09.25	Ancona - Ostia Mare	0:1

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