Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 21 August 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Greece	21:00	COSMOTE Sport 2


	Anderlecht		AEK Athens

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.3
	1.98	3.45	3.45	Watch
	2.08	3.57	3.51
	2.16	3.43	3.03	Watch
	2.02	3.64	3.61	Watch
	2.27	3.35	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.16)	3.46 ↑ (3.43)	3.33 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
44.9%

Draw
27%

AEK Athens
28.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.7%

26.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

26.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

AEK Athens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AEK Athens than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73%	13.5%	13.5%

Anderlecht - AEK Athens Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 27 - 73%). AEK will win (votes: 5 - 13.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 9 - 60%). AEK (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 79. Maamar A. 3. Hey L. 55. Kana M. 6. Augustinsson L. 74. De Cat N. 24. Llansana E. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 11. Hazard T. 12. Dolberg K. 19. Angulo N.	1. Strakosha T. (G) 12. Rota L. 2. Moukoudi H. (C) 44. Relvas F. 3. Pilios S. 11. Koita A. 23. Ljubicic R. 18. Marin R. 7. Kutesa D. 90. Zini 8. Gacinovic M.
Substitutes
91. Bertaccini A. 9. Cvetkovic M. 22. Dao E. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 58. Ozcan Y. 23. Rits M. 13. Saliba N. 29. Stroeykens M. 78. Tajaouart A. 20. Vazquez L. 10. Verschaeren Y. 62. Vroninks B.	81. Angelopoulos A. (G) 91. Brignoli A. (G) 55. Chrysopoulos K. 19. Eliasson N. 6. Jonsson J. 9. Jovic L. 34. Kosidis C. 20. Mantalos P. 29. Penrice J. 14. Pierrot F. 13. Pineda O. 21. Vida D.
Coaches
Hasi B.	Nikolic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', Nikolic M. 🟨,
9', Relvas F. 🟨,
11', Llansana E. 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Dolberg K. ⚽, Hazard T. (A),
39', Augustinsson L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gacinovic M. ↓, Mantalos P. ↑,
46', Ljubicic R. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
52', Hasi B. 🟨,
56', Mantalos P. 🟨,
65', Zini ↓, Eliasson N. ↑,
72', Koita A. ↓, Pierrot F. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Eliasson N. ⚽,
78', De Cat N. ↓, Saliba N. ↑,
78', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
86', Dolberg K. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
86', Angulo N. ↓, Dao E. ↑,
89', Kutesa D. ↓, Penrice J. ↑,
90', Hazard T. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
90+5', Mantalos P. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

AEK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Anderlecht could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.08.25	Dender EH - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.08.25	Anderlecht - Zulte Waregem	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
07.08.25	Anderlecht - Sheriff Tiraspol	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
03.08.25	Cercle Brugge - Anderlecht	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WTLWW
- AEK Athens
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.08.25	AEK Athens - Aris Limassol	3:1 ET ✺
07.08.25	Aris Limassol - AEK Athens	2:2 ✺
31.07.25	Hapoel Beer Sheva - AEK Athens	0:0 ✺
24.07.25	AEK Athens - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.07.25	AEK Athens - Omonia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTTWW

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