Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Weinberger J. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Argentina	ESPN 4
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Sport Austria 8
Belgium	Play6, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3, RTBF Tipik
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 4, Canal+ Live 7
Germany	Sky Sport 8
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 8
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 3
Israel	Sport 1
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, FOX Sports 2
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	Sporza, Ziggo Sport 5
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 6
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
South-america	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	Paramount+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+


	Anderlecht		Ferencvárosi

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3.1
	2.3	3.3	3.1
	2.25	3.5	3.25
	2.31	3.4	3.25
	2.32	3.33	3.14	Watch
	2.25	3.4	3.2
	2.34	3.56	3.25
	2.31	3.45	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.97)	3.42 ↓ (3.62)	3.19 ↓ (3.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
41.9%

Draw
28.1%

Ferencvárosi
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

26.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.9%

27.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.

Ferencvárosi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferencvárosi than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferencvárosi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.4%	14.5%	10.1%

Anderlecht - Ferencvárosi Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 52 - 77.6%). Ferencvárosi will win (votes: 7 - 10.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 67.6% – 87.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (G) 54. Sardella K. 13. Zanka 4. Simic J. 5. N'Diaye M. 10. Verschaeren Y. 32. Dendoncker L. (C) 29. Stroeykens M. 27. Edozie S. 7. Amuzu F. 12. Dolberg K.	90. Dibusz D. (C) 21. Botka E. 27. Cisse I. 22. Szalai G. 99. Ramirez C. 15. Abu Fani M. 88. Rommens P. 20. Traore A. 16. Zachariassen K. 10. Kady Borges 19. Varga B.
Substitutes
19. Angulo N. 18. Ashimeru M. 83. Degreef T. 25. Foket T. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 73. Lapage A. 17. Leoni T. 23. Rits M. 63. Vanhoutte T. (G) 20. Vazquez L.	7. Ben Romdhane M. A. 17. Civic E. 3. Gartenmann S. 30. Gruber Z. 54. Kajan N. 80. Maiga H. 93. Misidjan V. 8. Pesic A. 63. Radnoti D. (G) 11. Saldanha 64. Toth A. 1. Varga A. (G)
Coaches
Hubert D.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Cisse I. 🟨,
32', Zachariassen K. 🟨,
40', Amuzu F. ↓, Angulo N. ↑,
42', Dolberg K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 1 - 0, Verschaeren Y. ⚽, Stroeykens M. (A),
66', 2 - 0, Dolberg K. (Pen),
69', Edozie S. ↓, Ashimeru M. ↑,
69', Stroeykens M. ↓, Leoni T. ↑,
69', Dolberg K. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
71', Zachariassen K. ↓, Ben Romdhane M. A. ↑,
71', Kady Borges ↓, Saldanha ↑,
71', Abu Fani M. ↓, Maiga H. ↑,
73', Botka E. 🟨,
76', Botka E. ↓, Gartenmann S. ↑,
76', Ramirez C. ↓, Civic E. ↑,
78', Angulo N. 🟨,
79', N'Diaye M. ↓, Foket T. ↑,
81', Angulo N. 🟨,
86', 2 - 1, Traore A. ⚽,
90+4', Civic E. 🟨,
90+5', Ashimeru M. 🟨,
90+5', Varga B. 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Anderlecht is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferencvárosi in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ferencvárosi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Anderlecht have a series of home games.

Anderlecht will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Hazard T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L. (Concussion) Dreyer A. (Knock) Kana M. (Knock) Vertonghen J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.09.24	Anderlecht - Charleroi	0:0 ✺
17.09.24	Anderlecht - Genk	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Anderlecht - Westerlo	2:2 ✺
01.09.24	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	Anderlecht - Dinamo Minsk	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLTTW
- Ferencvárosi TC
Hungarian NB I
20.09.24	MTK Budapest - Ferencvárosi	1:3 ✺
Hungarian Cup
15.09.24	Budafoki - Ferencvárosi	0:3 ✺
Hungarian NB I
01.09.24	Ferencvárosi - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
29.08.24	Borac Banja Luka - Ferencvárosi	1:2 penalties ✺
22.08.24	Ferencvárosi - Borac Banja Luka	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWT

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