Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Round 20

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Anderlecht		Charleroi

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.78	3.65	4.35	Watch
	1.7	3.87	4.87	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.6
	1.74	3.75	4.86	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.82)	3.66 ↑ (3.65)	4.63 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
54.2%

Draw
25.6%

Charleroi
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25.5%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Charleroi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.5%	7.5%	0%

Anderlecht - Charleroi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -1 - Anderlecht (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Anderlecht will win (37 of 40 users predict this - 92.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.34% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Anderlecht will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Anderlecht (votes: 18 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 79. Maamar A. 54. Sardella K. 3. Hey L. 5. N'Diaye M. 74. De Cat N. 13. Saliba N. 91. Bertaccini A. 11. Hazard T. 19. Angulo N. 9. Cvetkovic M.	55. Delavallee M. (G) 27. Blum L. 4. Ousou A. (C) 95. Keita C. 23. Gaudin J. 22. Titraoui Y. 5. Camara E. 17. Bernier A. 14. Pflucke P. 10. Guiagon P. 21. Scheidler A.
Substitutes
83. Degreef T. 15. Ilic M. 99. Kanate I. 16. Kikkenborg M. (G) 24. Llansana E. 61. Nga K. 58. Ozcan Y. 78. Tajaouart A. 20. Vazquez L. 10. Verschaeren Y.	56. Boukamir A. 32. Boukamir M. 71. Chikovani N. 60. Closset N. (G) 25. Colassin A. 40. Khalifi Y. 24. Nzita M. 8. Romsaas J. 3. Van Den Kerkhof K.
Coaches
Hasi B.	Cornelis H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Camara E. ⚽, Pflucke P. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Guiagon P. ⚽, Bernier A. (A),
24', 1 - 2, Hazard T. (Penalty Awarded),
25', Hey L. 🟨,
38', Camara E. 🟨,
44', Bernier A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
64', Cvetkovic M. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
64', Saliba N. ↓, Verschaeren Y. ↑,
67', Bernier A. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
75', Scheidler A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
75', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
76', Bertaccini A. ↓, Kanate I. ↑,
76', Gaudin J. ↓, Nzita M. ↑,
77', Blum L. 🟨,
88', Maamar A. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
90+2', Titraoui Y. 🟨,
90+5', Guiagon P. ↓, Chikovani N. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.

Anderlecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Charleroi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Charleroi has had a series of home games.

In this match, Anderlecht is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Anderlecht: Augustinsson L. (Calf Injury) Camara I. (Muscle Injury) Huerta Valera C. S. (Groin Injury) Kana M. (Ankle Injury) Stroeykens M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T. (Injury) Kone M. (International duty) Mbenza I. (Knock) Sow M. (Knock)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:17. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Anderlecht - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.76%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
21.12.25	Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
13.12.25	Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense	2:1 ✺
07.12.25	Westerlo - Anderlecht	4:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.25	Genk - Anderlecht	1:3 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.11.25	Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TWLWW
- SC Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
19.12.25	Charleroi - Genk	2:2 ✺
14.12.25	Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	KV Mechelen - Charleroi	1:0 ✺
Belgian Cup
04.12.25	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	2:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.11.25	Charleroi - RAAL La Louvière	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.10.25	Charleroi - Anderlecht	1:0
16.02.25	Charleroi - Anderlecht	0:1
21.09.24	Anderlecht - Charleroi	0:0
11.02.24	Charleroi - Anderlecht	1:3
27.08.23	Anderlecht - Charleroi	2:1
26.12.22	Charleroi - Anderlecht	0:1
02.10.22	Anderlecht - Charleroi	0:1

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