Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 19

Date: 19 December 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	20:45	Amazon Prime Video


	Angers		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.3	3.1	3.25	Watch
	2.21	3.23	3.68
	2.35	3.17	3.43
	2.25	3	3.2
	2.31	3.14	3.22	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2)	3.14 ↓ (3.32)	3.29 ↓ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Angers
41.3%

Draw
30%

Guingamp
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

27.6%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Angers's form might have worsened.

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angers than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Angers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	33.3%	6.7%

Angers - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Angers will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Guingamp will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angers: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fofana Y. (G) 2. Valery Y. 25. Bamba A. 22. Hountondji C. 21. Lefort J. 20. Ferhat Z. 8. Lopy J. 15. Capelle P. 28. El Melali F. 10. Abdelli H. 9. Diony L.	16. Basilio E. (G) 27. Sivis M. 7. Gomis D. 26. Riou M. 25. Ben M. A. 10. Merghem M. 4. Louiserre D. 8. Sidibe K. 11. Sagna A. 9. El Ouazzani A. 21. Guillaume B.
Substitutes
24. Bahoya J. 14. Belkhdim Y. 26. Hanin F. 23. Hunou A. 7. Niane I. 12. Ould Khaled Z. 27. Rao-Lisoa L. 16. Zinga M. (G)	18. Courtet G. 19. Iglesias J. 15. Manceau V. 30. Mbaye B. (G) 20. Picard H. 2. Roux B. 17. Siwe J.
Coaches
Dujeux A.	Dumont S.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Angers won 1.

Angers in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guingamp is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Angers will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Angers won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Angers won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angers SCO
French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Troyes - Angers	1:4 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Plessis-Robinson - Angers	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Angers - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Ajaccio - Angers	1:1 ✺
27.11.23	Angers - Caen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTW
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
16.12.23	Guingamp - Concarneau	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
09.12.23	Caennaise - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
05.12.23	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
02.12.23	Guingamp - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
25.11.23	Troyes - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
23.02.19	Guingamp - Angers	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
31.10.18	Guingamp - Angers	1:0 penalties
French Ligue 1
29.09.18	Angers - Guingamp	0:1
03.03.18	Angers - Guingamp	3:0
18.11.17	Guingamp - Angers	1:1
Coupe De France
25.04.17	Angers - Guingamp	2:0
French Ligue 1
18.03.17	Angers - Guingamp	3:0

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