Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 29

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Raymond-Kopa (Angers)

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Canada	beIN Connect
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	DAZN 3, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App, Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Russia	Okko Sport
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Disney+


	Angers		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.9
	1.92	3.45	4.1	Watch
	1.94	3.46	4.08	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.75
	2.02	3.5	4.02	Watch
	1.92	3.45	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	3.47 ↓ (3.47)	4.02 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 3

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Current Win Probability

Angers
49%

Draw
27.4%

Montpellier
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

27.5%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

27.5%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Angers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Angers's performance.

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Montpellier might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Angers than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Angers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montpellier could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	7.8%	15.7%

Angers - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Angers will win (votes: 39 - 78%). Montpellier will win (votes: 7 - 14%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Angers: 66.5% – 89.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Angers (1.26) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Angers will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Angers (votes: 18 - 85.7%). Montpellier (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Fofana Y. (G) 27. Raolisoa L. 25. Bamba A. 21. Lefort J. 26. Hanin F. 6. Aholou J. 14. Belkhdim Y. 28. El Melali F. 10. Abdelli H. (C) 3. Ekomie J. 19. Lepaul E.	40. Lecomte B. (C) 49. Ndollo Bille W. 4. Kouyate K. 27. Omeragic B. 5. Sagnan M. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 18. Pays N. 13. Chotard J. 12. Ferri J. 22. Fayad K. 70. Coulibaly T.
Substitutes
18. Allevinah J. 2. Arcus C. 29. Camara O. 5. Courcoul M. 20. Ferhat Z. 17. Kalumba J. 7. Niane I. 12. Ould Khaled Z. 16. Zinga M. (G)	16. Bertaud D. (G) 10. Khazri W. 21. Mincarelli L. 47. Mouanga Y. 41. Ndiaye J. 19. Nzingoula R. 77. Sacko F. 11. Savanier T. 3. Sylla I.
Coaches
Dujeux A.	Camara Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Lepaul E. ⚽, El Melali F. (A),
37', Fayad K. 🟨,
43', 2 - 0, Lepaul E. ⚽,
45', Sagnan M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Sagnan M. ↓, Mouanga Y. ↑,
57', Chotard J. ↓, Savanier T. ↑,
58', Fayad K. ↓, Nzingoula R. ↑,
69', Aholou J. ↓, Ould Khaled Z. ↑,
69', El Melali F. ↓, Allevinah J. ↑,
77', Sainte-Luce T. ↓, Mincarelli L. ↑,
78', Pays N. ↓, Ndiaye J. ↑,
79', Raolisoa L. ↓, Niane I. ↑,
86', Abdelli H. ↓, Ferhat Z. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Angers won 3.

Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Angers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Angers is a favorite.

There will not play in Angers: Belkebla H. (Foot Injury) Biumla E. (Muscle Injury) Capelle P. (Personal Reasons) Cherif S. (Thigh Injury) Hountondji C. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Montpellier: Dzodic S. (Injury) Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Meite A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Montpellier: Delort A. (Illness)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Angers won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:26 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Angers won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Angers SCO
French Ligue 1
05.04.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Angers	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Angers - Rennes	0:3 ✺
15.03.25	Angers - Monaco	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Brest - Angers	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Angers - Toulouse	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
09.04.25	Montpellier - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Montpellier - Le Havre	0:2 ✺
30.03.25	Auxerre - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Lille - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
02.03.25	Montpellier - Rennes	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
12.01.25	Montpellier - Angers	1:3
05.03.23	Montpellier - Angers	5:0
11.09.22	Angers - Montpellier	2:1
21.05.22	Angers - Montpellier	2:0
22.12.21	Montpellier - Angers	4:1
04.04.21	Angers - Montpellier	1:1
20.09.20	Montpellier - Angers	4:1

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